Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54b62524479bbd87770f67f8e390d8bf40c9ec676db8664ec7b0873e4cff5ad1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 58c | 9,777$5,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,067.99 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 38c | 6,598$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.28 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 3,081$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.74 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 2,105$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.37 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 41c | 2,064$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.69 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 125 | 64%80 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 58c | 993.48$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.26 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 46c | 948.5$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.28 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 62c | 609.73$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.19 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 60c | 592$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.8 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 43c | 565.76$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.76 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 60c | 500$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.6wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 79c | 476.51$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.39 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 58c | 407.83$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.03 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 37c | 390.17$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.36 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8b…e8e7backed No | 65c | 362.66$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 42c | 343.67$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.34 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 24c | 300$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 63c | 240.1$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 12c | 232.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 39c | 229$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 6c | 187.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 35c | 184.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 16c | 173.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 63c | 156$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 39c | 138.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 14c | 132.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 131.83$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 38c | 130$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 63c | 119.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…a88ebacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 45c | 78.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Yes | 36c | 78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 40c | 71.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes | 42c | 68.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed Yes | 38c | 61.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 59c | 59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…b8cabacked Yes | 38c | 56.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 29c | 55.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 37c | 52.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 52.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Yes | 37c | 50.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…8e94backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 40c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed No | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…1ec6backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 42c | 35.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed No | 64c | 33.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 36c | 30.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 35c | 29.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked No | 42c | 27.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 63c | 26.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…af73backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 60c | 18.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e71…57a3backed No | 64c | 16.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?No won
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.