TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e0f…27f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$4.24
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$799Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$799.49
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$126.19
Will Ivan Demidov win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.79
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,112.68
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$402.38
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$32.89
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$287.8
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.42
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.27
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$14.62
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$46.34
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.96
Geneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miguel Damasbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$183.12
Cordoba: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$110.79
Bordeaux: Aleksandar Vukic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.97
Valencia: Dusan Lajovic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.93
Valencia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Zizou Bergsbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Zagreb: Stefan Dostanic vs Chris Rodeschbacked Chris Rodesch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$12.92
Parma: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
Bengaluru 2: Maximus Jones vs Amit Valesbacked Maximus Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+59%+$342.04
Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Dominik Palanbacked Dominik Palan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$537.59
Valencia: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nicolas Alvarez Varonabacked Nicolas Alvarez Varona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.24
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$6.93
All 15 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-49.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+114.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$32.4
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$78.75
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Japan vs Cook Islandsbacked Cook Islands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$829Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$788.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Mystics vs. Indiana Feverbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.