Australian A League · resolved market
Will Auckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6f1a8776e067e635d5cd31da20625a185cebb4b0add65e2f8ffbb699bf4d735
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 53c | 4,620$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.29 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Yes | 55c | 3,864$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Yes | 57c | 3,200$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 3,137$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.13 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…cdfcbacked No | 43c | 1,949$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 8c | 1,673$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.68 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 20c | 903.04$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.09 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 29c | 877.07$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.87 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 73c | 759.14$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed Yes | 22c | 681.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed No | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 27c | 532$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.36 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 26c | 397.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.15 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 28c | 357.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.32 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 74c | 302.63$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.95 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 11c | 275.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34eb…eabbbacked Yes | 58c | 258.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 23c | 245.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…78efbacked Yes | 28c | 242$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 241.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.94 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Yes | 22c | 231.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.82 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 45c | 210.36$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 27c | 184.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.78 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…9ea3backed Yes | 29c | 168.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 41c | 167.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 62c | 161.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 50c | 142.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 79c | 127.49$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 23c | 117.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.39 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 32c | 115.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 55c | 107.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 100.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 46c | 96.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 23c | 82.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +118%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 31c | 70.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Yes | 56c | 70.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 17c | 70.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 68.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 26c | 68.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 31c | 65.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed No | 26c | 65.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…27f3backed Yes | 50c | 64.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…60c0backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 73c | 61.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 73c | 59.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 28c | 57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 55.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b9…eb9dbacked Yes | 64c | 50.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +120%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 38c | 47.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…6c94backed No | 71c | 42.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked No | 50c | 39.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 45c | 35.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…59e1backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Yes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c6…3eb8backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 74c | 17.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Auckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.