Mls · resolved market
Will FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x776f697b335aba5e66848577e1adf4551ba36265cca25e87129c668cfa92bf8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 8,235$6,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.81 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 77c | 6,779$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.22 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.04 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 23c | 4,269$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.85 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…27f3backed Yes | 30c | 2,478$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes | 28c | 1,923$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.75 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 73c | 834.82$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.95 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 47c | 659.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 570.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.46 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 13c | 562.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 69c | 541.69$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 26c | 528.3$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.34 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 23c | 460$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 458.25$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 23c | 434.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 23c | 329.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 17c | 297.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 32c | 269.15$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 30c | 259.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 230.01$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 24c | 218.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 74c | 193.94$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 158.09$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 70c | 155$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 72c | 151.5$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 72c | 146.43$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 61cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…d412backed Yes | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 130.37$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 127$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…3bbebacked Yes | 8c | 126.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 25c | 125$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 31c | 121.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 118.78$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 54c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 74c | 93.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes | 22c | 83.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 23c | 83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…0167backed Yes | 50c | 81.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 23c | 80.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 27c | 75.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 23c | 73.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 36c | 70.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…31b4backed Yes | 29c | 68.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 76c | 59.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 62c | 59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 75c | 57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 31c | 55.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 66c | 46.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 24c | 42.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x836f…e56cbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 72c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 45c | 33.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 63c | 27.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 75c | 22.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 61c | 19.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 70c | 18.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe94…b9cdbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 77c | 13.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-05-13?No won
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.