TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-05-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,976
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,976 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2fc3…c9e7backed Yes33c9,732$3,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,208.89837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc55…dd71backed No67c9,732$6,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,208.89862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes32c4,407$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.571,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes17c3,840$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.2214761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb30d…5cf1backed No74c2,029$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No58c1,906$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.627726%20 W · 57 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes31c1,631$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.7397146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes32c1,579$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.2919560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009050%45 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c1,257$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.371,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes59c1,161$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.0411454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No70c1,079$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.6599340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes35c999.99$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.9839567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked No74c806.54$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.71060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes32c789.58$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504325.6%11 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes21c729.09$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.113135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No80c727.15$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.432564%16 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes50c726.94$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.5812667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes30c654.61$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.0816657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes31c637.08$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3353040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No42c625.86$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3639437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes16c625.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-74.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90e4…58eabacked No42c595.37$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes31c580.95$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.3442947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Yes23c570.75$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.351258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c564.8$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.0577751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No65c519.13$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.411,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No40c516.92$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.1592346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No52c512.86$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.141,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Yes38c506.25$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.84858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes25c499.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253625%9 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes31c499.98$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9920249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c401.86$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes57c364.04$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9687154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No60c353.69$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5720252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No54c352.87$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1214549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No49c351.81$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3525851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes59c324.86$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7719073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No54c319.34$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8535247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked No39c310$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.11533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked No70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.711250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes46c271.16$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.968560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd5c7…c6bdbacked No50c267.52$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.31926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-52.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes57c262$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4416137.9%61 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No64c254.84$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.615068%34 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No71c251.62$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6845140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes10c251.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No57c244$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9330444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No67c232.15$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7810644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes23c225$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.918774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes54c204.93$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes30c203$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.991553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes31c177.61$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4468150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes24c175.25$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7947240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No69c151.5$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9680358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes37c150.9$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5512343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No69c150.47$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6517858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No68c146.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.267758.4%45 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.933151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf23a…d412backed No69c144.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No66c142.72$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0810753.3%57 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes28c134.39$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0296756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes33c126.46$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4378344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes31c123.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes37c119.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.687974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No69c115.66$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3854949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes15c112.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1520849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No72c105.96$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0416853.6%90 W · 78 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015638.5%60 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3110243.1%44 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No69c99.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick73cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No46c98.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3480249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No50c97.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.729555.8%53 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0348…3d81backed Yes20c97.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No42c96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6822042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202010%2 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No74c79$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5427058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x151b…a686backed Yes40c78.34$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d76…517cbacked Yes67c77.54$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.951770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No68c72.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.335742.1%24 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No69c72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3215051.3%77 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked No42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.433141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc96…1245backed Yes60c70.22$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.311369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7737249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ede…37c8backed Yes24c67.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+81.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72dd…4ef0backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed Yes30c65.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.662857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae58…3f01backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes35c61.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6371443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x08fe…355fbacked No41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.98425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked No41c59.51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.112040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Yes21c58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9440%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No70c57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.14139%16 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No69c52.13$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1613461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42f7…91aabacked No42c52.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+53.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa1…f0b2backed Yes59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.52065%13 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+98.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8f2c…b875backed Yes31c47.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No75c46.54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6336051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.