MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85812ed4a9cda6f0c63b7bc6e97856918be5b4903cae00b630aa1b0c5fdc0e7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof New York Yankees, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,290,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,270,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,290,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 561 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed New York Yankees | 58c | 648,440$376,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376,095.32 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 607,941$255,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352,764.4 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 54,940$22,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,082.25 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Yankees | 59c | 48,000$28,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,529.95 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 27,792$10,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,932.21 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Yankees | 39c | 24,934$9,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,805.03 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 22,979$9,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,323.21 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 22,945$13,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,308.15 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed New York Yankees | 58c | 22,931$13,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,300 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed New York Yankees | 43c | 20,108$8,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,646.57 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed New York Yankees | 39c | 20,000$7,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,865.95 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 18,888$7,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,955.04 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 16,501$7,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,438.14 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 13,500$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 12,500$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,249.97 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 12,376$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,425.6 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed New York Yankees | 58c | 12,011$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 10,100$4,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,757 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe593…cc7dbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Yankees | 29c | 9,894$2,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,876.01 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed New York Yankees | 61c | 9,300$5,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,673 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 58c | 8,651$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998.06 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked New York Yankees | 61c | 8,427$5,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,140.27 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 7,839$3,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,526.15 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked New York Yankees | 21c | 7,605$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.77 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 7,601$3,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.39 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 7,081$4,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.35 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 6,984$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,983.98 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 6,159$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,756.98 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed New York Yankees | 61c | 6,074$3,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,705.05 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 5,462$4,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.72 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed New York Yankees | 59c | 5,428$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.24 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed New York Yankees | 68c | 5,000$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed New York Yankees | 15c | 4,541$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.14 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 4,517$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.36 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 4,478$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.88 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 4,384$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 4,375$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 4,256$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.49 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 4,256$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.49 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed New York Yankees | 58c | 3,998$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.02 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 3,732$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.52 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…473dbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 3,603$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.83 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c35cbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 3,600$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 3,450$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 3,003$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.77 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 2,895$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.76 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x837c…5771backed New York Yankees | 49c | 2,855$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked New York Yankees | 58c | 2,747$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 2,690$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.82 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50da…2202backed New York Yankees | 76c | 2,647$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 28c | 2,574$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 2,460$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.61 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d7…05b8backed New York Yankees | 58c | 2,419$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Yankees | 35c | 2,366$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.24 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed New York Yankees | 56c | 2,350$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 2,319$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.06 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 2,140$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.02 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 2,078$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.25 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 2,032$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.03 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c73…d54fbacked New York Yankees | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,985$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.44 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed New York Yankees | 58c | 1,916$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,900$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…2677backed New York Yankees | 55c | 1,782$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.93 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 1,766$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.11 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,744$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.19 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,734$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.55 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 1,725$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.03 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Baltimore Orioles | 77c | 1,688$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.27 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed New York Yankees | 60c | 1,670$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.99 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 1,651$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…3b52backed Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 1,638$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,629$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.9 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,555$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed New York Yankees | 58c | 1,536$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.83 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc6…a5bdbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 1,515$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,512$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.1 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…d704backed New York Yankees | 79c | 1,500$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 1,440$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.52 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,357$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.39 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed New York Yankees | 78c | 1,273$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,253$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.71 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed New York Yankees | 60c | 1,100$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked New York Yankees | 80c | 1,087$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.21 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 1,058$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.25 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…f29bbacked New York Yankees | 66c | 1,054$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.36 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,054$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.42 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 1,039$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.02 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,002$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.98 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…8174backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed New York Yankees | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 999.97$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.98 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.23 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 924.55$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.1 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 875$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.