MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10fbac23dd1d119a6bc666672761fb5bb787d6c5e50985c9dd840fa1de1eda97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof New York Yankees, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 13,780$6,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,310.25 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 9,926$5,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,665.14 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 46c | 9,247$4,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,287.17 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 7,794$3,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,218.75 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 48c | 7,688$3,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,693.15 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 7,671$4,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,463.07 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 7,438$4,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,422.19 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed New York Yankees | 50c | 3,524$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.1 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 3,123$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.97 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 3,074$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.68 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed New York Yankees | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fd…ca86backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed New York Yankees | 64c | 1,817$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.8 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,660$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.79 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed New York Yankees | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Yankees | 42c | 1,548$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.85 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,511$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.98 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.09 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 40c | 1,322$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.27 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed New York Yankees | 50c | 1,283$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.26 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,038$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.24 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked New York Yankees | 47c | 1,031$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed New York Yankees | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 903.12$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.73 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 762.34$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.92 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 750$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 744.38$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.42 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 707.36$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.42 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 667.17$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.07 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed New York Yankees | 48c | 665.44$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.41 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 664.69$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.4 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 636.09$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.68 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 606.8$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.33 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 45c | 522.64$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.54 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 499.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.28 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 411.58$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.54 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…9ea3backed New York Yankees | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 368.83$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.04 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked New York Yankees | 19c | 357$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 102 | 15.7%16 W · 86 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 334.39$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed New York Yankees | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 317.67$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.83 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 312.8$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.65 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed New York Yankees | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 295.86$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.93 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 293.4$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…b91dbacked New York Yankees | 45c | 277.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.8wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Yankees | 65c | 267$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.55 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked New York Yankees | 50c | 254.92$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.46 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 41c | 211$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.47 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 203.53$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked New York Yankees | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…4f39backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 170$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 167.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked New York Yankees | 47c | 156.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed New York Yankees | 47c | 146.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed New York Yankees | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 142.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 136.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 128.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 124.78$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 115.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…dd7ebacked New York Yankees | 48c | 102.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 101.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed New York Yankees | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed New York Yankees | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed New York Yankees | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…27f1backed New York Yankees | 50c | 99.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Yankees | 44c | 89.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed New York Yankees | 35c | 88.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked New York Yankees | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed New York Yankees | 48c | 81.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 74.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed New York Yankees | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…72c3backed New York Yankees | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 68.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 68.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed New York Yankees | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 62.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed New York Yankees | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 55.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed New York Yankees | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked New York Yankees | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 51.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed New York Yankees | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Orioles won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.