NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c105373e22fe86f3e7b4a4602b180ccefde045b0a7c1cf2cd23d0d70124cf55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Sabres, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $820,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $894,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $820,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 694 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Canadiens | 55c | 129,395$70,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,872.29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Sabres | 45c | 120,000$54,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,399.77 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Sabres | 38c | 41,590$15,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,653.3 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Canadiens | 54c | 40,964$22,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,843.64 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Sabres | 45c | 30,888$13,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,997.27 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Sabres | 47c | 21,395$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Sabres | 46c | 20,182$9,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,189 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed Canadiens | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Sabres | 45c | 19,303$8,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,686.37 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 53c | 15,955$8,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,459.57 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Canadiens | 73c | 15,929$11,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300.84 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 53c | 14,583$7,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,897.5 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Sabres | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674a…1a78backed Sabres | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Canadiens | 74c | 10,740$7,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.32 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Sabres | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Sabres | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.97 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Canadiens | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.95 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Sabres | 47c | 9,200$4,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,324 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked Sabres | 45c | 8,034$3,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,615.38 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.94 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Sabres | 45c | 7,510$3,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,393.09 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Canadiens | 74c | 7,115$5,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.82 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Canadiens | 57c | 6,282$3,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.19 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Canadiens | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Sabres | 61c | 5,817$3,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,571.49 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Canadiens | 51c | 5,802$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870.06 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Canadiens | 53c | 5,644$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.68 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Canadiens | 54c | 5,575$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.31 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Sabres | 46c | 5,533$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.07 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7a…3d7fbacked Canadiens | 54c | 5,492$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Sabres | 45c | 5,400$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Canadiens | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.14 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.6wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Canadiens | 57c | 5,285$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Sabres | 45c | 5,247$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f3…bf55backed Canadiens | 56c | 5,089$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.29 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Sabres | 0c | 4,853$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Sabres | 46c | 4,500$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.98 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Sabres | 45c | 4,453$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Sabres | 46c | 4,300$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…20cfbacked Canadiens | 56c | 4,135$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Sabres | 7c | 3,573$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.26 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Sabres | 27c | 3,376$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.52 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Canadiens | 52c | 3,304$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…584ebacked Sabres | 48c | 3,006$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.62 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Canadiens | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Sabres | 48c | 2,742$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.84 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens | 68c | 2,741$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.82 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sabres | 27c | 2,622$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.94 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…cf23backed Sabres | 45c | 2,457$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 57c | 2,295$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.59 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…35ebbacked Canadiens | 54c | 2,243$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.59 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Sabres | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Canadiens | 54c | 2,113$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.96 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Sabres | 46c | 2,100$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Canadiens | 54c | 2,038$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.38 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Sabres | 46c | 2,033$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.15 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Canadiens | 54c | 2,014$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.23 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Sabres | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Canadiens | 54c | 1,944$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.24 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…d9f4backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,877$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.34 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Sabres | 46c | 1,830$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.8 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…4b6bbacked Canadiens | 54c | 1,822$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Sabres | 19c | 1,797$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.79 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…fdb1backed Sabres | 47c | 1,690$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Canadiens | 55c | 1,637$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.61 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…3586backed Sabres | 36c | 1,592$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Canadiens | 55c | 1,532$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.6 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,495$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.3 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sabres | 45c | 1,402$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.14 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Sabres | 43c | 1,357$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.5 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Sabres | 45c | 1,353$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.85 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Sabres | 7c | 1,305$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.34 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sabres | 9c | 1,303$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.04 | 248 | 37.9%94 W · 154 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Sabres | 46c | 1,250$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.96 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Sabres | 46c | 1,224$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.05 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Canadiens | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Sabres | 46c | 1,197$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.53 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Sabres | 8c | 1,131$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Canadiens | 75c | 1,128$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.43 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…f21ebacked Sabres | 46c | 1,116$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sabres | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.05 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,096$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.34 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Sabres | 12c | 1,092$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Sabres | 47c | 1,004$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.75 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Sabres | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67cd…e364backed Canadiens | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Canadiens | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +41%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Sabres | 47c | 999.96$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.98 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…d25fbacked Sabres | 25c | 999.95$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…8267backed Sabres | 59c | 962.01$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Canadiens | 47c | 958.97$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.97 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Sabres | 43c | 925.46$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37af…4b38backed Canadiens | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…27f3backed Canadiens | 54c | 867.37$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.38 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Sabres | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e7…b4a1backed Sabres | 51c | 784.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Canadiens | 56c | 752.96$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Canadiensthis page
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.