Mls · resolved market
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x338f052e45a3b0ff8d97658377266eb6e4830bd9cb7183b83b1f22332aa96c61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 51c | 16,850$8,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,602.37 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 51c | 10,640$5,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,203.29 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1c89backed Yes | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 47c | 3,023$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.52 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 55c | 2,759$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.32 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 47c | 1,937$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.35 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7b…3051backed No | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,703$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 56c | 1,527$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.6 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 65c | 1,493$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 66c | 848.17$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 70cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 49c | 782.31$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.64 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 32c | 663.89$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.39 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68f…3211backed Yes | 19c | 530$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 413.88$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.86 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 17c | 412.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 64c | 410$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.8 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed No | 46c | 394.57$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.37 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 19c | 387.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 41c | 359.74$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.18 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Yes | 59c | 323.82$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.49 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 57c | 322.66$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.46 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 18c | 321.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 22c | 307.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 39c | 254.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.03 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 57c | 241.09$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.67 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 64c | 240.93$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.32 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 80c | 228$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 55c | 195.44$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 49c | 195.43$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.89 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 42c | 189.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 18c | 167.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 51c | 145.27$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.18 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 61cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 40c | 140.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 48c | 134$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 41c | 123.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 42c | 121.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 58c | 119$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 18c | 112.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 62c | 108$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 105.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…c634backed Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f0b2backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc117…6ddabacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 68c | 82.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 75c | 71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 77c | 65.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes | 21c | 64.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 58.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e6…5f75backed No | 76c | 57.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 22c | 55.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 41c | 52.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 60c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd92e…fcbdbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed No | 44c | 44.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…c7e4backed Yes | 57c | 43.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 55c | 41.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…befdbacked No | 73c | 40.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…82c3backed Yes | 41c | 36.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 41c | 36.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…b42dbacked No | 39c | 36.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e0…2a1dbacked Yes | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked No | 62c | 30.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x544d…88c5backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…27f3backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Yes | 57c | 22.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -16.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…952dbacked Yes | 67c | 21.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 72cpaid | -37%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 78c | 16.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.