Mls · resolved market
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x429944344f98a01e43fbb4e8de8dfde3b1c193f71b18e579e482b4574d07aca9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $290,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 61c | 64,495$39,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,348.59 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 63c | 62,494$39,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,371.45 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed No | 64c | 41,366$26,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,735.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 24,977$11,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,899.18 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 37c | 19,304$7,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,141.54 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 18,887$7,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,884.82 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 37c | 18,429$6,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,600.34 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 14,269$5,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,888.2 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 39c | 10,274$3,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,293.26 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 38c | 3,981$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.39 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 62c | 3,595$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.85 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 3,565$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.19 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 39c | 3,300$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.04 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 37c | 3,294$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.33 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 39c | 2,718$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.61 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 37c | 2,394$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 37c | 2,227$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.66 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 39c | 1,872$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked No | 37c | 1,719$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +53%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 38c | 1,678$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.13 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e4…0398backed No | 37c | 1,530$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed No | 57c | 1,399$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.73 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 29c | 1,269$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.44 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 37c | 1,200$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 39c | 1,127$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.49 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 37c | 1,041$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.26 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 40c | 1,032$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.73 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 55c | 998.8$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.88 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 980.7$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.65 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 38c | 979.56$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.03 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 38c | 947.5$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.47 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 37c | 938.98$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.11 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 50c | 886.78$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.47 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 39c | 800$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.9 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 38c | 800$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 12c | 775.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 39c | 654.5$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.47 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 45c | 649.31$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.73 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 36c | 591.2$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.05 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 37c | 568$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.84 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 39c | 511$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.77 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…3bcdbacked Yes | 40c | 501.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 39c | 498.25$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.93 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 38c | 480$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.6 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 30c | 469.57$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.89 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 67c | 425.27$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.7 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed No | 39c | 410.26$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed No | 39c | 407.91$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.83 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 23c | 396.2$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.31 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 32c | 390.72$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.03 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked No | 39c | 390.15$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 40c | 390$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 43c | 388.3$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.53 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 38c | 350$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 38c | 349.98$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.49 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 23c | 349.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 39c | 337$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.83 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 39c | 336.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.66 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 75c | 333.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.45 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked No | 62c | 300$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.75 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 70c | 295.71$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.51 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 61c | 288.5$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.76 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked No | 37c | 283.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 57c | 261.21$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.4wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -41%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 46c | 254.97$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.89 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 51c | 244.65$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.55 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 40c | 243.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 37c | 240$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 57c | 219$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed No | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 37c | 204$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.75 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Yes | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked No | 39c | 200.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.9 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 39c | 200$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 37c | 196.03$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.78 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked No | 75c | 192$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed No | 45c | 185.32$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Yes | 30c | 181.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 39c | 180.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 37c | 180$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 37c | 180$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 38c | 179.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.49 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 34c | 178.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 39c | 161.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.87 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…5df5backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 38c | 160$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.64 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 38c | 159.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.