Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce14d5bb6d38c142823ac8ed0eb89e84ed4fe50e6a407a95f3dc8c34f3adb7db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 1,248$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.11 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 59c | 515.51$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.27 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 54c | 466.86$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.27 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 16c | 399.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.67 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 26c | 382.26$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.87 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 62c | 374.57$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.99 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…27f3backed Yes | 77c | 361.68$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 38c | 213.4$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.13 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 80c | 200$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 44c | 160.85$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 80c | 153.25$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.29 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 29c | 147.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 70c | 142.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 28c | 140.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 79c | 126.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 14c | 124.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.11 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 34c | 71.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 21c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 52.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32c0…c82cbacked No | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 47c | 43.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 48c | 35.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Yes | 62c | 29.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 80c | 29.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 65c | 25.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 80c | 24.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Rosenborg BK vs. Aalesunds FK end in a draw?No won
- Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.