NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x631883bb2143b41c88e31d09a5528fab9d2356477feccd7432a2d84ad41c9b88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $890,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $964,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $890,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 731 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Lightning | 52c | 242,659$127,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,285.18 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Lightning | 52c | 95,000$49,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,600 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Canadiens | 48c | 93,687$44,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,954.48 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Canadiens | 47c | 90,255$42,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,419.94 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Canadiens | 48c | 90,000$43,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,199.92 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Lightning | 51c | 76,132$38,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,304.47 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 51c | 50,810$25,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,934.06 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Canadiens | 49c | 48,118$23,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,736.49 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Lightning | 52c | 37,183$19,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,847.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Canadiens | 48c | 32,396$15,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,652.51 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Canadiens | 48c | 29,999$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,399.72 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 48c | 16,906$8,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,087.11 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Canadiens | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Lightning | 53c | 14,787$7,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,949.89 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Canadiens | 47c | 14,630$6,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,876.1 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 47c | 13,689$6,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,401.76 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Canadiens | 34c | 12,372$4,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,207.66 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Canadiens | 49c | 12,204$5,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,979.97 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Lightning | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Canadiens | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Canadiens | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Canadiens | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f24…05efbacked Canadiens | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Canadiens | 48c | 9,928$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Lightning | 51c | 9,757$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,757.14 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Lightning | 51c | 9,755$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,755.21 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Canadiens | 48c | 9,200$4,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,430.25 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Canadiens | 47c | 7,680$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,609.77 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Lightning | 50c | 7,392$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,661.58 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lightning | 72c | 7,355$5,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.87 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Lightning | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Canadiens | 47c | 6,382$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.54 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Lightning | 53c | 5,608$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.8 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Canadiens | 48c | 5,335$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.03 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Lightning | 51c | 5,100$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens | 49c | 4,836$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.63 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Lightning | 53c | 4,749$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lightning | 52c | 4,692$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.19 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…d9f4backed Canadiens | 49c | 4,487$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Canadiens | 46c | 4,064$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.47 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Canadiens | 49c | 3,979$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.48 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 52c | 3,557$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.16 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked Canadiens | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Canadiens | 48c | 3,184$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.82 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lightning | 52c | 3,039$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.01 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Lightning | 52c | 3,002$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.63 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Canadiens | 48c | 2,927$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Canadiens | 47c | 2,785$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Canadiens | 48c | 2,625$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Lightning | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…d4eabacked Canadiens | 48c | 2,458$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Canadiens | 47c | 2,328$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.72 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lightning | 51c | 2,300$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.85 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Canadiens | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lightning | 55c | 2,080$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.87 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Canadiens | 49c | 2,050$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.5 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Canadiens | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Lightning | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Lightning | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Canadiens | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa475…bfe7backed Canadiens | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Lightning | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…a75fbacked Canadiens | 49c | 1,939$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…03c2backed Canadiens | 52c | 1,922$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.65 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Canadiens | 49c | 1,816$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,652$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.89 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Lightning | 54c | 1,594$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.24 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Lightning | 53c | 1,583$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.02 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Lightning | 52c | 1,532$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.47 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00c1…a029backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,522$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…e0c0backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Lightning | 52c | 1,473$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.67 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,461$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.66 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed Lightning | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.31 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Canadiens | 1c | 1,375$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Lightning | 50c | 1,278$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.99 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Lightning | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Lightning | 52c | 1,161$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.21 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Canadiens | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Lightning | 53c | 1,094$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.34 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Lightning | 52c | 1,026$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.39 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…45fbbacked Canadiens | 48c | 1,021$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…09febacked Canadiens | 49c | 1,007$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Canadiens | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…dec3backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Canadiens | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeea0…5adfbacked Lightning | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Canadiens | 48c | 999.97$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Canadiens | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Canadiens | 48c | 997.97$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.03 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Canadiens | 48c | 987.27$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.86 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Canadiens | 49c | 984.14$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.23 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628f…5209backed Canadiens | 51c | 982.32$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Canadiens | 49c | 959.18$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed Lightning | 52c | 942.46$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.46 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Canadiensthis page
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 3.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Under won
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Lightning won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.