MLB · resolved market

Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x968bd52e910e89696f12c04fd921015c051aa08599dd8c3769cd223a1ca4acf2

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Cincinnati Reds
Resolved: May 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $682,386
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $732,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $682,386 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 403 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Cincinnati Reds	62c	107,359$66,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66,562.71	550	53.1%292 W · 258 L	+20.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds	59c	54,812$32,224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,224.16	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals	38c	36,585$13,902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,682.93	981	49.9%490 W · 491 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Cincinnati Reds	70c	35,737$24,978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,978.1	141	52.5%74 W · 67 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Washington Nationals	33c	29,354$9,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,801.99	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals	39c	28,947$11,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,772.01	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8d7…1252backed Washington Nationals	78c	26,524$20,755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,768.98	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	74cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Washington Nationals	30c	25,884$7,876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,008.58	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals	41c	17,932$7,314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,618.29	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Cincinnati Reds	59c	15,000$8,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,849.89	604	51%308 W · 296 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals	43c	13,562$5,877 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,684.9	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Washington Nationals	30c	13,075$3,901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,174.01	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Washington Nationals	30c	12,250$3,672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,578.54	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Washington Nationals	38c	10,141$3,851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,289.66	550	52.4%288 W · 262 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds	57c	8,322$4,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,740.1	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Cincinnati Reds	63c	8,000$5,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,040.01	595	49.7%296 W · 299 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds	62c	7,138$4,445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,444.78	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Washington Nationals	45c	7,000$3,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,815.9	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf310…76cbbacked Cincinnati Reds	61c	6,679$4,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,074.19	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Washington Nationals	25c	6,590$1,648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,942.72	310	39%121 W · 189 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Washington Nationals	31c	6,493$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,493.29	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+4.9wins	+0.16per pick	37cpaid	+53%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Washington Nationals	40c	5,883$2,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,503.01	91	53.8%49 W · 42 L	+7.9wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds	42c	5,821$2,474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,473.58	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Washington Nationals	37c	4,789$1,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,017.33	260	56.5%147 W · 113 L	+13.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Cincinnati Reds	63c	4,762$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Cincinnati Reds	49c	4,690$2,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,294.71	115	48.7%56 W · 59 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Washington Nationals	36c	4,400$1,584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,816	852	35.8%305 W · 547 L	-23.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds	64c	4,175$2,681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,681.39	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Washington Nationals	41c	4,111$1,681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,430.05	432	53.9%233 W · 199 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Cincinnati Reds	63c	3,442$2,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,168.26	541	52.1%282 W · 259 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Cincinnati Reds	62c	3,125$1,945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,945.14	577	58.1%335 W · 242 L	+28.5wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Washington Nationals	38c	3,000$1,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,860	66	50%33 W · 33 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Washington Nationals	38c	3,000$1,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,860	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Washington Nationals	39c	2,937$1,147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,789.67	1,289	47.2%609 W · 680 L	-18.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Nationals	41c	2,927$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,726.83	192	50%96 W · 96 L	+12.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Washington Nationals	38c	2,800$1,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,736	60	50%30 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Washington Nationals	38c	2,800$1,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,736	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Washington Nationals	36c	2,773$1,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,770.52	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Washington Nationals	28c	2,744$779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,965.27	1,113	49%545 W · 568 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds	64c	2,677$1,721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,721.2	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Washington Nationals	38c	2,632$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,631.58	705	46.8%330 W · 375 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Nationals	38c	2,632$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,631.57	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Washington Nationals	28c	2,489$697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,791.91	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+5.4wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Washington Nationals	11c	2,473$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,211.89	1,522	34.7%528 W · 994 L	+27.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals	42c	2,462$1,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,423.34	619	47.7%295 W · 324 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Cincinnati Reds	63c	2,296$1,447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,446.78	1,043	49%511 W · 532 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals	80c	2,161$1,723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.35	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Cincinnati Reds	67c	1,949$1,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,313.23	517	56.5%292 W · 225 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Washington Nationals	41c	1,672$686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$986.48	341	51.6%176 W · 165 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Cincinnati Reds	61c	1,670$1,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,018.8	449	45.4%204 W · 245 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Washington Nationals	39c	1,666$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,016.26	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals	32c	1,627$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,111.69	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Washington Nationals	41c	1,556$638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$918.04	449	53.7%241 W · 208 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Washington Nationals	77c	1,510$1,168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341.51	1,723	50.3%867 W · 856 L	+55.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Cincinnati Reds	1c	1,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	119	14.3%17 W · 102 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+289.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Washington Nationals	38c	1,362$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$846.55	515	47%242 W · 273 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Cincinnati Reds	69c	1,225$846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$846.21	603	48.6%293 W · 310 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals	38c	1,220$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$755.26	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Washington Nationals	49c	1,216$591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.12	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Washington Nationals	40c	1,155$458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$697.02	737	48.4%357 W · 380 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed Cincinnati Reds	56c	1,137$637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636.9	128	57%73 W · 55 L	+9.2wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Cincinnati Reds	63c	1,091$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.35	185	51.4%95 W · 90 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds	50c	1,029$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.68	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b8f…449bbacked Cincinnati Reds	74c	1,014$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	65cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Cincinnati Reds	63c	1,005$633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.07	446	48.7%217 W · 229 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38d7…af0dbacked Washington Nationals	38c	1,000$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.9wins	+0.32per pick	46cpaid	+65.9%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xcdba…e7a2backed Cincinnati Reds	74c	995.1$736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$736.36	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed Washington Nationals	38c	929.76$353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576.45	85	57.6%49 W · 36 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cincinnati Reds	57c	912$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.84	373	48.3%180 W · 193 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals	38c	905.65$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$561.02	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x784a…06c3backed Washington Nationals	79c	850.11$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.11	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70e9…836abacked Cincinnati Reds	24c	833.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	213	23.5%50 W · 163 L	-9.2wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Cincinnati Reds	64c	795$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.8	707	35.1%248 W · 459 L	-31.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6597…b746backed Washington Nationals	38c	716.45$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.2	253	51.8%131 W · 122 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Cincinnati Reds	63c	715.35$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.67	452	46.2%209 W · 243 L	-18.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds	61c	712.59$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.52	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Washington Nationals	38c	700$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Washington Nationals	37c	685.22$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.18	499	42.9%214 W · 285 L	-31.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals	43c	658.09$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.38	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Washington Nationals	31c	645.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.16	96	56.3%54 W · 42 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Washington Nationals	40c	644.88$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.93	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b2…2245backed Washington Nationals	79c	632.91$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.91	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	73cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd3…5896backed Washington Nationals	40c	600$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360	174	46%80 W · 94 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Washington Nationals	42c	560.16$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.31	1,733	49%849 W · 884 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Washington Nationals	40c	549.99$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.99	1,010	51.2%517 W · 493 L	+36.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Cincinnati Reds	54c	533.24$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.58	1,777	58.4%1,037 W · 740 L	+91.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Cincinnati Reds	64c	500$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	177	68.9%122 W · 55 L	+9.4wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed Washington Nationals	77c	500$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-2.5wins	-0.13per pick	61cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Washington Nationals	40c	500$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	1,137	46.3%526 W · 611 L	+36.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…dc20backed Cincinnati Reds	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	16cpaid	+62.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Washington Nationals	38c	500$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.74	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b8…d25fbacked Washington Nationals	27c	499.97$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.98	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	+7.2wins	+0.18per pick	26cpaid	+81.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9cc0…7faabacked Washington Nationals	38c	473.68$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.68	213	47.9%102 W · 111 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Washington Nationals	53c	473.34$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.34	1,213	40.5%491 W · 722 L	-32.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51b…90a8backed Cincinnati Reds	60c	442.6$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.56	171	52.6%90 W · 81 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf26…906dbacked Cincinnati Reds	55c	442.35$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.29	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Cincinnati Reds	58c	440.9$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.67	503	37.2%187 W · 316 L	-42.3wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Washington Nationals	37c	440.43$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.59	268	57.8%155 W · 113 L	+26.3wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Cincinnati Reds	63c	427.37$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.24	159	49.7%79 W · 80 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed Cincinnati Reds	71c	422.54$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-4.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 13.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 14.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 15.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 16.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event