MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c9953df6a312ae7a6e171eb3887052366cc19a6a2d35db8672a48b6edf181b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $311,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $312,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 48c | 159,776$76,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,431.35 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 53c | 112,773$59,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,825.52 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 47c | 100,662$47,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,357.31 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 52c | 35,000$18,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,200 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 53c | 27,917$14,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,713.84 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 52c | 24,749$12,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,869.47 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 52c | 18,550$9,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,645.92 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 15,088$7,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,869.32 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Under | 53c | 5,898$3,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125.94 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 4,374$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.04 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 52c | 3,941$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.79 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 2,800$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.33 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 49c | 1,918$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.37 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 52c | 1,757$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.65 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Over | 48c | 1,460$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.18 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Under | 52c | 1,451$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.52 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 47c | 1,427$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.31 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 1,413$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.28 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 53c | 1,179$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.84 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 53c | 1,179$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.84 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 47c | 1,065$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.45 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.6 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 53c | 947.33$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.08 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 53c | 915.12$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.27 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 52c | 903$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.56 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 900.78$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.38 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…7aa6backed Over | 49c | 820.58$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.58 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 52c | 803.77$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.96 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 53c | 716.65$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.46 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 589.74$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.16 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 48c | 581.59$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.43 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 517.87$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.47 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Under | 51c | 490$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 52c | 390$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.94 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 48c | 370.29$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.73 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 52c | 355.45$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.54 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 52c | 353$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.59 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 48c | 351.33$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.69 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 47c | 330.62$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.39 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 47c | 261.21$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.44 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed Under | 53c | 242.24$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Under | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…f1bfbacked Under | 53c | 227.03$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.33 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 217$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Over | 48c | 197.02$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.98 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Under | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over | 47c | 123.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 113.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…970ebacked Under | 19c | 113.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 52c | 102$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…5978backed Under | 20c | 100.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 47c | 94.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 53c | 94.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 52c | 92.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Over | 49c | 90.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 52c | 85.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 82.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 52c | 79.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 54c | 77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…ce0fbacked Under | 53c | 75.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…6f8fbacked Under | 53c | 71.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…f0b6backed Over | 48c | 67.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 48c | 67.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 53c | 53.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 53c | 53.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…3927backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4280…cb8cbacked Over | 48c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 45c | 50.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…cfcdbacked Under | 56c | 50.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 38c | 45.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5this page
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-4.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati RedsWashington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 13.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 14.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 15.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 16.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.