Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ba9ed59ccffe460fdc612131d4f2a9c548b5cff25436a999d1403d601f9c156
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 13c | 1,406$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.31 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed Yes | 15c | 1,314$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.61 | 264 | 11.4%30 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 14c | 977.12$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.56 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 9c | 931.17$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55bf…9ee3backed Yes | 19c | 917.35$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 12c | 795.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.37 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed Yes | 25c | 589.32$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 16c | 473.45$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes | 20c | 354.66$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 158 | 19%30 W · 128 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Yes | 24c | 345.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 107 | 27.1%29 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed Yes | 7c | 344.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…2093backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0215…6080backed No | 75c | 275.32$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 9c | 222.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 18c | 180.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 18c | 153.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed No | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 25c | 130$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed Yes | 19c | 116.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 20c | 101.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked Yes | 22c | 90.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2390…1d10backed Yes | 12c | 86.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 272 | 24.3%66 W · 206 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…bfd3backed Yes | 27c | 48.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…411abacked No | 76c | 41.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab6…75b5backed No | 79c | 34.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.