CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs m1x (BO1) - DraculaN Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09ad660af9b466e54d95b4b45f0e35bff6776036d270d702fec3fa3d7a8a2e0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HyperSpiritof HyperSpirit, m1x
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked m1x | 0c | 252,919$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.92 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…75d7backed m1x | 62c | 4,213$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.23 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HyperSpirit | 37c | 1,705$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.8 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed m1x | 58c | 980.93$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.12 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HyperSpirit | 42c | 741.01$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.6 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed m1x | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed HyperSpirit | 41c | 480.01$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.21 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed HyperSpirit | 45c | 442.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.88 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HyperSpirit | 46c | 400$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…f5aabacked HyperSpirit | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed m1x | 54c | 347.74$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.78 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed HyperSpirit | 35c | 333$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.45 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed m1x | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked HyperSpirit | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed HyperSpirit | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed m1x | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…3ef3backed HyperSpirit | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed m1x | 54c | 295$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.3 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed HyperSpirit | 35c | 189$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.71 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed HyperSpirit | 42c | 183.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed m1x | 55c | 154.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed HyperSpirit | 49c | 150.46$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.41 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked m1x | 49c | 130$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked HyperSpirit | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed HyperSpirit | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked m1x | 54c | 118.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed HyperSpirit | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked m1x | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked HyperSpirit | 45c | 66.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…e34fbacked m1x | 55c | 64.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked HyperSpirit | 46c | 50.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…5e80backed HyperSpirit | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked HyperSpirit | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…a9f8backed HyperSpirit | 79c | 49.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…fb0fbacked HyperSpirit | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed m1x | 39c | 47.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked HyperSpirit | 38c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…a482backed m1x | 50c | 40.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…8535backed HyperSpirit | 68c | 37.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…9b3bbacked m1x | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed m1x | 45c | 36.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked HyperSpirit | 38c | 31.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed HyperSpirit | 55c | 26.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.