CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe8e7b1ade7619007b53e0fae442f7f2cb114f8bfd9b99e3e450be9c228cc316
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof illwill, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed illwill | 45c | 6,565$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.69 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bebop | 48c | 5,555$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,885.05 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed illwill | 50c | 3,278$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.27 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…75d7backed Bebop | 52c | 3,213$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.7 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed illwill | 69c | 2,700$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96d…cf14backed illwill | 8c | 2,697$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1661…4b37backed illwill | 60c | 2,566$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.85 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Bebop | 43c | 1,063$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.56 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bebop | 48c | 811.23$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.28 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…fcb2backed illwill | 49c | 635.18$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.89 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Bebop | 55c | 621.94$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.87 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Bebop | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.3 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…aec0backed Bebop | 47c | 477.82$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed illwill | 52c | 456.3$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.68 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed illwill | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed illwill | 73c | 381.69$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.63 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked illwill | 67c | 297.79$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed illwill | 54c | 296.83$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.18 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Bebop | 39c | 256.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.38 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bebop | 40c | 224.91$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked illwill | 73c | 220$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed illwill | 74c | 212.89$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.54 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Bebop | 30c | 206.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.67 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Bebop | 26c | 205.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.72 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Bebop | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked illwill | 52c | 180.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed illwill | 34c | 175.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed illwill | 58c | 173.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Bebop | 58c | 171.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed illwill | 25c | 156.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88f…bb72backed illwill | 68c | 144.27$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a1…2530backed Bebop | 65c | 133.62$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed illwill | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bebop | 48c | 113.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked illwill | 46c | 102$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bebop | 27c | 101.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed illwill | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bebop | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed illwill | 56c | 97.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked illwill | 21c | 96.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed Bebop | 55c | 88.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed illwill | 19c | 84.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Bebop | 61c | 81.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…c2c9backed illwill | 57c | 81.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed Bebop | 30c | 76.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Bebop | 42c | 69.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Bebop | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked illwill | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…0debbacked illwill | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed illwill | 70c | 58.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed illwill | 25c | 56.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…c2e2backed illwill | 68c | 53.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked illwill | 42c | 51.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed illwill | 55c | 51.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed illwill | 77c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…a482backed Bebop | 53c | 47.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed illwill | 53c | 40.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Bebop | 53c | 39.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed illwill | 52c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed illwill | 35c | 37.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked illwill | 53c | 36.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33b…fa01backed illwill | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Bebop | 28c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…3550backed illwill | 73c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked illwill | 49c | 30.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Bebop | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed illwill | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…5cf8backed illwill | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked illwill | 76c | 26.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…06efbacked illwill | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked illwill | 72c | 22.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…7f61backed Bebop | 68c | 21.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…c8f4backed Bebop | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Bebop | 62c | 17.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Bebop - Map 1 WinnerBebop won
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerillwill won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.