TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Leylah Fernandez vs Janice Tjen

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tjenof Fernandez, Tjen
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$317,727
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$337,153

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,727 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbad…9c95backed Tjen46c95,943$44,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,620.921850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Fernandez53c31,719$16,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,810.943834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Fernandez45c26,117$11,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,690.821,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Fernandez55c25,000$13,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,7509545.3%43 W · 52 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Fernandez53c19,170$10,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,160.14744.7%21 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f8bcbacked Fernandez55c18,631$10,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,237.346026.7%16 W · 44 L-7.6wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Fernandez53c18,318$9,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,708.532339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Tjen55c14,752$8,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,577.421,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tjen51c8,992$4,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,415.2911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Tjen74c7,583$5,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.1880938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tjen66c6,725$4,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,292.987,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Tjen68c6,649$4,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,151.652,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Tjen45c5,970$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,283.4510443.3%45 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Fernandez35c5,400$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.892,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Tjen77c5,195$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.8157249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Fernandez53c4,777$2,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,531.721,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Tjen47c4,649$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,457.9538133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Tjen63c4,500$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.982,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Tjen70c4,203$2,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.6681349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Fernandez33c4,050$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.291,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Tjen47c3,828$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,028.7721147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fernandez36c3,791$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.846,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Fernandez11c3,758$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4089737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Tjen49c2,512$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.6998240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Fernandez45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00072132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Tjen46c2,043$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.4610547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Fernandez54c2,032$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.2478152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Fernandez27c2,001$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.0569249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Fernandez47c1,846$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.12,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Tjen47c1,680$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.3144448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Fernandez35c1,594$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.6655646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Tjen51c1,552$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.41,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Tjen47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79557645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Fernandez13c1,491$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Fernandez55c1,430$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.251,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Fernandez28c1,332$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.591,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Tjen47c1,308$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.5826131.4%82 W · 179 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Fernandez29c1,286$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.4563247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e1…86b5backed Fernandez25c1,198$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.834623.9%11 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Tjen46c1,133$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.021,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Tjen53c1,132$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.0826847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Tjen47c1,111$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.8331753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Tjen47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8314568.3%99 W · 46 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Fernandez47c1,023$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.471,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Fernandez29c1,000$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.9681938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Fernandez45c992$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.4399044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Fernandez40c940.17$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.4949143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb88e…08f3backed Fernandez53c823.03$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fernandez52c737$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.241,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Tjen50c731.19$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.1925152.6%132 W · 119 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Tjen50c704$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35416648.8%81 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeed0…dd5ebacked Tjen48c693.54$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.6410943.1%47 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Tjen47c647.87$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.3746553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17ed…c087backed Tjen48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5d…4183backed Tjen37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.5414250.7%72 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f2…754cbacked Fernandez38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Fernandez26c503.17$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309040%36 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tjen61c501.34$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.598,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Fernandez44c472$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9618644.6%83 W · 103 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Fernandez54c455.2$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.8137854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89fd…da5dbacked Tjen48c426.96$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.028845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Fernandez53c399.98$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9914940.9%61 W · 88 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Fernandez54c383.33$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20743448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Tjen45c349.79$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8912147.1%57 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Fernandez29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018439.1%72 W · 112 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Fernandez20c308.33$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Fernandez47c298.93$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14113052.3%68 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Tjen48c293.44$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.447546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf54c…e6ccbacked Fernandez29c284.05$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.376025%15 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x713b…ee60backed Fernandez23c278.26$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645628.6%16 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x640a…1ec3backed Tjen47c255.27$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Fernandez15c252.04$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6630741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x795f…fbdabacked Fernandez23c249.3$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3411417.5%20 W · 94 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fernandez48c247.07$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.596,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ce4…62fcbacked Tjen78c230$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.611745.3%53 W · 64 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Tjen47c230$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.915356.2%86 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9da2…ed3abacked Tjen47c227.66$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.6610668.9%73 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Tjen50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ab…b0b3backed Tjen47c217.11$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.073318.2%6 W · 27 L-6.4wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-59.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Tjen57c214.83$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.092,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Tjen48c212.5$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.539431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Tjen47c212.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1720643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Tjen48c208.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.541,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Fernandez48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Fernandez42c201.62$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.483,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Fernandez25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c8…f2d8backed Fernandez25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Fernandez53c198.11$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10584736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe781…19cdbacked Tjen37c194.8$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Fernandez52c192.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Fernandez53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.732147%151 W · 170 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Tjen50c190$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9497046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Fernandez24c187.22$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.761,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Fernandez54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Fernandez55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013356.4%75 W · 58 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Fernandez48c175.27$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.788848.9%43 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63f2…e0c9backed Fernandez29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507356.2%41 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd1…7040backed Fernandez31c161.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023256.9%132 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Fernandez52c160$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.227344.7%122 W · 151 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c0…7e68backed Tjen55c156.36$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.36742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.