Tennis · resolved market
Lugano: August Holmgren vs Mika Brunold
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf7183df18bda40c95a97328b7a0ffdba6d535c2a4b1653ef2f60411a25ed31e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mika Brunoldof August Holmgren, Mika Brunold
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked August Holmgren | 40c | 23,617$9,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,491.66 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mika Brunold | 60c | 11,308$6,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,470.78 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Mika Brunold | 65c | 7,367$4,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.27 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mika Brunold | 74c | 5,189$3,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.88 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mika Brunold | 61c | 3,874$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.15 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Mika Brunold | 76c | 3,800$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffd…a1e5backed August Holmgren | 23c | 3,525$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.26 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Mika Brunold | 64c | 3,512$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.57 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked August Holmgren | 29c | 3,464$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mika Brunold | 71c | 3,167$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.03 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked August Holmgren | 29c | 2,835$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.06 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Mika Brunold | 74c | 2,020$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.59 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…e568backed August Holmgren | 47c | 1,842$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mika Brunold | 63c | 1,517$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.79 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed August Holmgren | 30c | 1,492$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.94 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked August Holmgren | 30c | 1,475$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.74 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mika Brunold | 73c | 1,466$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.97 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked August Holmgren | 46c | 1,400$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed August Holmgren | 30c | 1,206$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.61 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked August Holmgren | 31c | 1,090$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.46 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked August Holmgren | 30c | 954$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.74 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Mika Brunold | 71c | 813.77$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.15 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed August Holmgren | 40c | 621.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…d5d0backed Mika Brunold | 79c | 580.09$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 247 | 62.3%154 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mika Brunold | 54c | 574.38$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.8 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked August Holmgren | 19c | 530.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked August Holmgren | 24c | 499.75$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e6…17c4backed Mika Brunold | 30c | 448$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +183.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Mika Brunold | 32c | 350$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…8205backed Mika Brunold | 29c | 300$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +7.4wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…1ab1backed Mika Brunold | 31c | 286.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…593ebacked Mika Brunold | 30c | 279.66$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.15 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +7.9wins | +0.33per pick | 25cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…8d8dbacked Mika Brunold | 73c | 279.45$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Mika Brunold | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Mika Brunold | 58c | 241.28$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.35 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked August Holmgren | 54c | 237.02$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.02 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Mika Brunold | 77c | 228.56$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked August Holmgren | 43c | 223.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed August Holmgren | 27c | 218.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Mika Brunold | 77c | 215$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed August Holmgren | 33c | 211.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed August Holmgren | 24c | 204.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked Mika Brunold | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…0d61backed Mika Brunold | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfec4…1958backed August Holmgren | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9a…cd64backed August Holmgren | 48c | 198.84$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Mika Brunold | 75c | 169.8$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1605…124fbacked August Holmgren | 62c | 152.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mika Brunold | 72c | 142$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed August Holmgren | 20c | 136$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…7276backed August Holmgren | 18c | 135.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 271 | 47.2%128 W · 143 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…49e9backed August Holmgren | 23c | 133.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mika Brunold | 53c | 133$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b8…1762backed August Holmgren | 73c | 132.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Mika Brunold | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…2cb0backed Mika Brunold | 77c | 130.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Mika Brunold | 78c | 128.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Mika Brunold | 30c | 115.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Mika Brunold | 68c | 113.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed August Holmgren | 45c | 107.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed August Holmgren | 52c | 106.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Mika Brunold | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd12…5503backed Mika Brunold | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked August Holmgren | 26c | 94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Mika Brunold | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Mika Brunold | 54c | 90.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13eb…17ccbacked August Holmgren | 18c | 89.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed August Holmgren | 34c | 88.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked August Holmgren | 28c | 86.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Mika Brunold | 77c | 86.17$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked August Holmgren | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Mika Brunold | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked August Holmgren | 30c | 76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…a482backed August Holmgren | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Mika Brunold | 76c | 58.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Mika Brunold | 74c | 56.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Mika Brunold | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed August Holmgren | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Mika Brunold | 75c | 45.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Mika Brunold | 53c | 45.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed August Holmgren | 26c | 43.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048b…cdb5backed Mika Brunold | 31c | 40.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b61…ea3fbacked August Holmgren | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mika Brunold | 63c | 30.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed August Holmgren | 48c | 26.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f60…a419backed Mika Brunold | 75c | 24.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Mika Brunold | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Mika Brunold | 68c | 14.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lugano: August Holmgren vs Mika Brunoldthis page
- August Holmgren vs. Mika Brunold: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.