Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Daria Kasatkina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22be3b232f8bf5080cb874cf32fad1aa979dee5f652a4888642236dca1c54fb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kasatkinaof Siegemund, Kasatkina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kasatkina | 73c | 17,369$12,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,636.41 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Siegemund | 0c | 9,294$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Kasatkina | 67c | 7,863$5,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.36 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Siegemund | 27c | 6,895$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.69 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kasatkina | 74c | 5,293$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.96 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Siegemund | 37c | 5,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Siegemund | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.98 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Siegemund | 26c | 4,623$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.9 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Kasatkina | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kasatkina | 67c | 3,564$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.93 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Kasatkina | 68c | 2,573$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.36 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Siegemund | 28c | 2,221$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.58 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Kasatkina | 69c | 2,196$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.67 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Siegemund | 24c | 2,190$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.59 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Siegemund | 41c | 2,178$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kasatkina | 75c | 1,957$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.73 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Siegemund | 32c | 1,555$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.54 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Kasatkina | 69c | 1,450$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.5 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Siegemund | 33c | 1,278$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.53 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Kasatkina | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Siegemund | 28c | 1,227$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.03 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Kasatkina | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.09 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Siegemund | 15c | 1,134$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.82 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Siegemund | 2c | 1,110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Kasatkina | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.38 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Kasatkina | 64c | 1,022$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.31 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Siegemund | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Kasatkina | 63c | 966$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.53 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Kasatkina | 64c | 928$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.01 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Siegemund | 33c | 904.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Siegemund | 32c | 842.87$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.72 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Siegemund | 34c | 825.02$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.71 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed Kasatkina | 65c | 821.02$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.72 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a37…6c95backed Siegemund | 6c | 681.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kasatkina | 67c | 673.94$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.56 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Siegemund | 18c | 659.1$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.46 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Kasatkina | 69c | 650$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.5 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…fbdabacked Siegemund | 10c | 574$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Kasatkina | 72c | 555.05$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.05 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Kasatkina | 69c | 553.41$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.56 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Siegemund | 36c | 534.92$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Kasatkina | 60c | 502.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.58 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Siegemund | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Siegemund | 12c | 495.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…09c4backed Siegemund | 52c | 444.29$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.89 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Siegemund | 20c | 410$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…1189backed Kasatkina | 59c | 405.07$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.08 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…06dcbacked Siegemund | 50c | 405.04$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.42 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Kasatkina | 59c | 399.56$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.48 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Kasatkina | 59c | 399.56$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.48 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kasatkina | 71c | 385.04$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.88 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Kasatkina | 49c | 345.89$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.97 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Kasatkina | 64c | 336.24$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.05 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…8bd3backed Kasatkina | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed Kasatkina | 62c | 292$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Kasatkina | 72c | 278.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Siegemund | 35c | 276.96$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Siegemund | 22c | 268.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Siegemund | 31c | 255.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kasatkina | 56c | 251.67$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.91 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Siegemund | 42c | 247.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.03 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Kasatkina | 49c | 242.79$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.79 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Siegemund | 52c | 238.58$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.06 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Kasatkina | 49c | 230$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Siegemund | 30c | 223.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Siegemund | 32c | 222$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Kasatkina | 70c | 221.79$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…9ab5backed Kasatkina | 78c | 217.2$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 212 | 56.1%119 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Siegemund | 20c | 201.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Siegemund | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Siegemund | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Siegemund | 27c | 186.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…ed3abacked Kasatkina | 69c | 182.61$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 106 | 68.9%73 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Kasatkina | 71c | 169.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Kasatkina | 64c | 161.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kasatkina | 63c | 156.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Siegemund | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Siegemund | 50c | 148.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.01 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f2…e0c9backed Kasatkina | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Kasatkina | 63c | 143.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Kasatkina | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Kasatkina | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Siegemund | 32c | 118.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…65cbbacked Kasatkina | 69c | 118.3$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Siegemund | 37c | 106$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Siegemund | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Siegemund | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Siegemund | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Siegemund | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Kasatkina | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Siegemund | 27c | 95.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Siegemund | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Siegemund | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Siegemund | 13c | 93.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Kasatkina | 69c | 93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Kasatkina | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6b…b355backed Siegemund | 23c | 85.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Kasatkina | 49c | 85.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc55…de9dbacked Siegemund | 42c | 79.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…ba77backed Siegemund | 22c | 79.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Daria Kasatkinathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Siegemund vs KasatkinaKasatkina won
- Set Handicap: Kasatkina (-1.5) vs Siegemund (+1.5)Kasatkina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.