CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2d83d6f3a8d3ff23c3a7ec1a718f249ca5a89c340e48a4c7fa38640cabf386f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- los kogutosof ex-Zero Tenacity, los kogutos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked los kogutos | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.99 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 47c | 1,028$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.41 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 37c | 444.59$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.89 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 47c | 440.43$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed los kogutos | 63c | 414.29$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.29 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…754cbacked los kogutos | 57c | 349.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.37 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 47c | 282.18$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.93 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 46c | 238.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.67 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd85d…e660backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 58c | 229.35$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 15c | 220.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96d…cf14backed los kogutos | 63c | 126$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586f…ce5dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617f…cde5backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 61c | 91.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…6f9cbacked los kogutos | 54c | 83.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed los kogutos | 53c | 79.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…938dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 42c | 72.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked los kogutos | 65c | 60.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed los kogutos | 50c | 51.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed los kogutos | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed los kogutos | 63c | 49.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 45c | 43.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed los kogutos | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6774…2e8abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 59c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -5.6wins | -0.30per pick | 66cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 37c | 36.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 60c | 35.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x049e…55b1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 47c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…e87abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 68c | 29.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed los kogutos | 65c | 28.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 45c | 26.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked los kogutos | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…a482backed los kogutos | 66c | 22.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f7…919bbacked los kogutos | 66c | 21.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked los kogutos | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs los kogutos - Map 1 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.