CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: East Asian Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20eb1d8ae0ee15e0e3ff806f1247d74fe6880d9b7b82b87c4aca15885c3bc336
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rare Atomof Rare Atom, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bde…3800backed Lynn Vision | 41c | 1,217$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…f96dbacked Lynn Vision | 3c | 1,014$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Lynn Vision | 75c | 807.99$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.04 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Rare Atom | 37c | 310$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.3 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Lynn Vision | 78c | 253.38$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.64 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Lynn Vision | 29c | 224.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Rare Atom | 19c | 218.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.65 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Rare Atom | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 192.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed Rare Atom | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 225 | 51.1%115 W · 110 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…d52fbacked Lynn Vision | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde4a…9577backed Rare Atom | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908e…2291backed Lynn Vision | 71c | 98.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Lynn Vision | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 319 | 31.7%101 W · 218 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Rare Atom | 31c | 73.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…a482backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 63.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…8024backed Lynn Vision | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…f6a8backed Rare Atom | 46c | 43.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bb…d013backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Rare Atom | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked Rare Atom | 45c | 24.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.