TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
VP.Prodigyof ASTRAL, VP.Prodigy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,873
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,873 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99e4…e4c4backed ASTRAL41c13,229$5,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,391.9122142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed VP.Prodigy53c5,740$3,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,694.3926046.9%122 W · 138 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked VP.Prodigy48c5,307$2,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,779.799038.9%35 W · 55 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed VP.Prodigy58c5,041$2,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.6312752%66 W · 61 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed VP.Prodigy37c3,250$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.321,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce7a…75d7backed ASTRAL5c1,503$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.153756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked VP.Prodigy49c1,489$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.9875056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked ASTRAL49c1,321$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.1412038.3%46 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc04a…af81backed VP.Prodigy61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf50c…83edbacked ASTRAL39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed VP.Prodigy60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4005250%26 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2baf…f66ebacked ASTRAL4c960.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.446732.8%22 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked VP.Prodigy55c929.43$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.5621146%97 W · 114 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed ASTRAL44c800$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34918943.4%82 W · 107 L-0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed ASTRAL47c798.01$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.8938835.8%139 W · 249 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc9b…2866backed ASTRAL54c680$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08f7…1b73backed ASTRAL8c661.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked VP.Prodigy59c604.42$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.991,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed ASTRAL67c595.27$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.031291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick61cpaid+57.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ASTRAL50c595.13$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.746,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed VP.Prodigy50c594.46$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.8212359.3%73 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed VP.Prodigy58c584.62$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.6284958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ASTRAL68c567.39$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.557,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef71…898bbacked ASTRAL38c564.98$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6912946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa706…4b9ebacked ASTRAL40c562$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.81957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe30c…3f38backed ASTRAL40c540$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.93447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe2…e4d2backed ASTRAL40c521$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.912344.7%55 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed VP.Prodigy51c502.36$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.3415436.4%56 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed VP.Prodigy73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1356640.9%27 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed VP.Prodigy46c473.13$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0839851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf11e…3bc1backed ASTRAL50c471.29$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2354949%24 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed VP.Prodigy78c448.7$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.716947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bd2…0c9dbacked VP.Prodigy62c422.51$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.551250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed VP.Prodigy50c385$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0761154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…0236backed ASTRAL44c383.47$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6bc…d324backed ASTRAL43c367.44$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1581127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad09…3c3fbacked VP.Prodigy55c356$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8811344.2%50 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed VP.Prodigy61c326.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.024839.6%19 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked ASTRAL40c324.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13054348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed ASTRAL47c321.95$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2887244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2922…30f1backed ASTRAL53c317$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.971145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0271…583ebacked ASTRAL55c311.87$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.42475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+39.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed VP.Prodigy76c302.63$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6383543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed VP.Prodigy69c288.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7459049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed VP.Prodigy55c276.82$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8769863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1c74…00bcbacked ASTRAL49c268$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.32837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fca9backed ASTRAL4c266.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ec…8c8dbacked ASTRAL39c262.33$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4566…7481backed ASTRAL54c222$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed ASTRAL47c213.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003534.3%12 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed ASTRAL60c212.07$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.661,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked VP.Prodigy53c209.27$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3236253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff5e…9c6ebacked VP.Prodigy59c206.37$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.533857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2363…0991backed ASTRAL48c206$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked ASTRAL37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7470038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed ASTRAL9c185.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.121,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked ASTRAL43c173.59$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.451,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb3e…9120backed ASTRAL50c168$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8414641.1%60 W · 86 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed ASTRAL40c166.67$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6724641.9%103 W · 143 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed ASTRAL52c165.38$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8da7…f04bbacked ASTRAL41c158.53$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654833.3%16 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x444c…51f6backed ASTRAL42c156.13$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.21631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-51.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xfcf6…aec0backed VP.Prodigy35c151.43$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.43540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked VP.Prodigy78c146.38$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.323,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04c0…6f9cbacked VP.Prodigy50c140.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.754454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL33c137.19$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.014,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed VP.Prodigy51c134.2$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7617758.2%103 W · 74 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe630…5d81backed VP.Prodigy56c130.36$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d3…5ea8backed ASTRAL41c122.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5036…5540backed ASTRAL21c116.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2a1…2530backed VP.Prodigy68c102.59$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.592090%18 W · 2 L+5.0wins+0.25per pick65cpaid+41.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked ASTRAL44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4433539.4%132 W · 203 L-19.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe52b…3837backed ASTRAL40c97.68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked ASTRAL41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.81,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e08…3c69backed ASTRAL44c77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.881080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked ASTRAL52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405335.8%19 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3701…ba6dbacked VP.Prodigy50c69.59$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.973030%9 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76b5…a423backed ASTRAL49c65.39$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.992540%10 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed VP.Prodigy64c63.85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.991,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed ASTRAL37c62.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3197230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed VP.Prodigy38c60.54$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.312,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed ASTRAL53c58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9427348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked ASTRAL42c57.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.31,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70a4…eff2backed ASTRAL62c56.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a77…c6d6backed ASTRAL51c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c5…c346backed ASTRAL67c52.49$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.171258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked VP.Prodigy48c49.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8745956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71d6…a929backed ASTRAL45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked VP.Prodigy60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.674161%25 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x624e…a482backed VP.Prodigy60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea37…94f3backed VP.Prodigy49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8232951.7%170 W · 159 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36fa…1125backed ASTRAL25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed ASTRAL40c37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.933655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+41.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a41…145fbacked VP.Prodigy60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.339554.7%52 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe379…6960backed ASTRAL63c33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed ASTRAL45c32.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4531735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5700…a854backed ASTRAL50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511650%58 W · 58 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf264…9e0fbacked ASTRAL73c27.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-54.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd17…c8f4backed ASTRAL49c23.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.332085%17 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.21per pick64cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked VP.Prodigy74c23.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.