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Tennis · resolved market

Lugano: Petr Brunclik vs Joel Schwaerzler

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Schwaerzlerof Brunclik, Schwaerzler
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,171
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,171 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4173…d3edbacked Brunclik57c8,514$4,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,891.0555646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Schwaerzler30c8,456$2,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,914.042,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Brunclik73c4,034$2,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9598,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Schwaerzler42c2,509$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.266,79836.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Schwaerzler36c1,825$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.111560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Brunclik21c1,421$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.8827935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa56…f232backed Schwaerzler38c1,078$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.051435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Schwaerzler56c894.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.685841.4%24 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Schwaerzler10c892$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.041,14228.2%322 W · 820 L+5.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Brunclik66c815$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.966258.9%390 W · 272 L-32.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Brunclik57c646.07$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.972,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Schwaerzler35c568.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.371,87248.2%902 W · 970 L-36.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Brunclik37c537.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35f3…092fbacked Schwaerzler61c518.15$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.4811247.3%53 W · 59 L-11.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Brunclik60c501.51$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30063247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ce…bdcfbacked Brunclik69c440.73$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.216168.9%42 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Schwaerzler69c392.22$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2269350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Schwaerzler35c374.98$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.993,90535%1,368 W · 2,537 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e3…40a0backed Brunclik21c368.23$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5611759.8%70 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Schwaerzler35c363$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.952,05847.9%986 W · 1,072 L+16.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Schwaerzler37c307.89$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.8962534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Schwaerzler35c285.7$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.131,98846.1%917 W · 1,071 L-3.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Schwaerzler45c256$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.5499044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc3…8d1ebacked Brunclik34c242.67$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Schwaerzler68c220.54$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5450364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Schwaerzler37c212.04$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.2175748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Brunclik68c199.61$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.566,70050.8%3,401 W · 3,299 L+267.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Brunclik65c197$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3816648.8%81 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Schwaerzler39c177.58$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.571,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Schwaerzler56c151.63$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.814,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Schwaerzler34c147.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4220758%120 W · 87 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c64…cb26backed Brunclik34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9a…cd64backed Brunclik68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002050%10 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Schwaerzler35c144.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9220039%78 W · 122 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Brunclik32c138.25$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.112,80453.7%1,505 W · 1,299 L+71.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Schwaerzler53c135$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6313647.1%64 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Schwaerzler26c134.17$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.621,38416.5%228 W · 1,156 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x35f1…93d9backed Schwaerzler43c128.5$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.934151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Schwaerzler22c128.21$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.114,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b20…f88dbacked Schwaerzler43c125$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.75944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Schwaerzler9c122.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.73644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe795…d019backed Schwaerzler36c120.04$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.938850%44 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Brunclik51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.42,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Brunclik64c107$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0319052.6%100 W · 90 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Brunclik64c101$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6424547.8%117 W · 128 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Brunclik63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6377967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Brunclik58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5851539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Schwaerzler37c95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.851,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb2…fea3backed Brunclik63c93.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.217945.6%36 W · 43 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Brunclik61c89.45$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5640744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab4c…2a53backed Brunclik40c88.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.043737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3892…8d8dbacked Brunclik69c85.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.625550.9%28 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Brunclik60c83.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc6…05dfbacked Schwaerzler68c83.47$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.713050%15 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Schwaerzler30c78.74$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.173,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x18aa…2287backed Brunclik67c77.36$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.837367.1%49 W · 24 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7747…8d9bbacked Brunclik40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031941.4%132 W · 187 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Brunclik64c73.41$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.981844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Schwaerzler41c73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.071,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Brunclik66c71.21$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4758067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd420…01fcbacked Brunclik68c70.59$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4813158%76 W · 55 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Brunclik53c64.15$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3423554.5%128 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d3…25f8backed Schwaerzler35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.143441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Brunclik50c57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.691,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed Schwaerzler35c56.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3630351.8%157 W · 146 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Schwaerzler50c56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7797046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Brunclik49c56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2673745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Brunclik65c52.89$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3832649.1%160 W · 166 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Schwaerzler35c51.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7431643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x750d…566bbacked Schwaerzler34c50.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5316356.4%92 W · 71 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Schwaerzler46c50.45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.264,70848.3%2,275 W · 2,433 L+36.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Brunclik58c49.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.225546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Brunclik61c48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4799356%556 W · 437 L+33.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77e5…7b3ebacked Brunclik65c44.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.415261.5%32 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Brunclik60c44.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.596,58454.4%3,584 W · 3,000 L+286.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Schwaerzler58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Brunclik63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253423.5%8 W · 26 L-7.0wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-45.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x14e7…3a2abacked Schwaerzler64c39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.044148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3008…5cb6backed Brunclik65c38.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.02757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Brunclik42c37.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.899530.5%29 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Schwaerzler52c36.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6417260.5%104 W · 68 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c5c…3769backed Schwaerzler51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.071844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Brunclik65c33.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6836349.9%181 W · 182 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Schwaerzler60c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Schwaerzler42c32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.561,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Brunclik69c31.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8330254.3%164 W · 138 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae2…8d89backed Schwaerzler40c31.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.954339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Brunclik54c30.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7737949.6%188 W · 191 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Brunclik67c28.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.862853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Schwaerzler48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134,52351.7%2,340 W · 2,183 L+135.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe94a…0ff1backed Brunclik50c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.451258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Brunclik60c23.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8554434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4bc…a87fbacked Brunclik64c22.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x624e…a482backed Brunclik64c22.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.191656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Brunclik63c21.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.561,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f60…a419backed Schwaerzler73c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.712360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.