CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60fa12c97fbb6636a3a652a30a96fd0d20f634cceb58026429b4c47dbecf94e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Phantom, ALGO Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6be…b977backed ALGO Esports | 0c | 17,010$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Phantom | 72c | 742$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.83 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff8c…b3fbbacked Phantom | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eef…e6e9backed ALGO Esports | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked ALGO Esports | 29c | 510.38$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.21 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ALGO Esports | 6c | 497.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ALGO Esports | 7c | 341.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 60c | 314.31$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.41 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed ALGO Esports | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ALGO Esports | 32c | 282.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.31 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked ALGO Esports | 30c | 282.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ALGO Esports | 24c | 255.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ALGO Esports | 35c | 245.21$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Phantom | 54c | 211.7$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked ALGO Esports | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Phantom | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed ALGO Esports | 37c | 134.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed ALGO Esports | 38c | 131.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 166 | 50.6%84 W · 82 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…a482backed Phantom | 72c | 123.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phantom | 64c | 117.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54df…51fabacked Phantom | 72c | 104.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed ALGO Esports | 29c | 104.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…a14fbacked Phantom | 70c | 103.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…4cc0backed ALGO Esports | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Phantom | 68c | 73.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb2…fea3backed Phantom | 77c | 59.42$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALGO Esports | 27c | 50.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked ALGO Esports | 37c | 40.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde1…925dbacked Phantom | 79c | 32.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…ad95backed Phantom | 76c | 28.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…ac5fbacked Phantom | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Phantom | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Phantom | 70c | 19.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…312bbacked Phantom | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Phantom | 78c | 14.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs ALGO Esports - Map 1 WinnerPhantom won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs ALGO Esports - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.