Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c47a08932a5b9bc8688e9451a6febb03d4eec1add02f314594988f2dc2db15b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $810,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $346,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $810,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 0c | 40,188$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.3 | 796 | 6.5%52 W · 744 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 2c | 25,815$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.51 | 1,780 | 7.4%132 W · 1,648 L | -23.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…e6f7backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 16.7%12 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 2.3%4 W · 173 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +467.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c0…a338backed Yes | 0c | 15,293$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 364 | 4.7%17 W · 347 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…09e8backed Yes | 0c | 11,110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 169 | 0%0 W · 169 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…eaaabacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 296 | 8.1%24 W · 272 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 8c | 9,889$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.42 | 1,036 | 11.1%115 W · 921 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 1c | 9,686$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 0c | 9,427$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 5c | 8,949$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.3 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 8,920$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 4c | 7,069$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.48 | 1,060 | 8.4%89 W · 971 L | +29.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 6,398$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.74 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…7341backed Yes | 7c | 6,382$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.62 | 340 | 8.2%28 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 11c | 6,165$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.78 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…e977backed Yes | 5c | 5,946$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 590 | 9.2%54 W · 536 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…a743backed Yes | 3c | 5,786$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.73 | 248 | 15.3%38 W · 210 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…a46bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,520$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 5c | 5,435$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.85 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…a8f8backed Yes | 1c | 5,422$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 144 | 13.2%19 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…5a39backed Yes | 5c | 5,185$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.29 | 144 | 11.1%16 W · 128 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 5c | 5,068$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.95 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 504 | 5.2%26 W · 478 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Yes | 9c | 4,996$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.66 | 212 | 13.2%28 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 0c | 4,792$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 256 | 17.2%44 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes | 0c | 4,713$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 207 | 4.3%9 W · 198 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 2c | 4,299$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 416 | 5.3%22 W · 394 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…19eabacked Yes | 1c | 4,184$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,053$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 781 | 8.7%68 W · 713 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…3634backed Yes | 9c | 3,803$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.17 | 231 | 7.4%17 W · 214 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,773$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 2,160 | 3.9%85 W · 2,075 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a9…9234backed Yes | 1c | 3,695$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes | 14c | 3,365$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 179 | 19%34 W · 145 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c23…2ccdbacked Yes | 12c | 3,275$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…0861backed Yes | 1c | 3,135$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 146 | 8.2%12 W · 134 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.27 | 519 | 8.3%43 W · 476 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes | 5c | 2,900$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 413 | 10.7%44 W · 369 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…5d2dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,868$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.54 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,721$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 72 | 16.7%12 W · 60 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,616$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.58 | 730 | 4.5%33 W · 697 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,557$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 104 | 14.4%15 W · 89 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b5…11a3backed Yes | 1c | 2,554$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes | 6c | 2,510$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 78 | 15.4%12 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…0d7abacked Yes | 13c | 2,088$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes | 5c | 2,005$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 4.7%18 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 5.6%10 W · 168 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 480 | 6.9%33 W · 447 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…df40backed Yes | 9c | 1,953$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.3 | 116 | 24.1%28 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbd…5165backed Yes | 1c | 1,768$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes | 6c | 1,717$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.07 | 326 | 7.1%23 W · 303 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…62ebbacked Yes | 9c | 1,700$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 101 | 14.9%15 W · 86 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 7c | 1,700$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 1,190 | 8.7%104 W · 1,086 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…a66ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,695$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 94 | 13.8%13 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbb…9a56backed Yes | 1c | 1,572$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf111…2a81backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 88 | 5.7%5 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 388 | 11.9%46 W · 342 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8585…cbf4backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 120 | 9.2%11 W · 109 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9523…56e0backed Yes | 6c | 1,500$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 59 | 8.5%5 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…873cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,488$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80b6…1284backed Yes | 10c | 1,442$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f3…42eabacked Yes | 4c | 1,419$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424a…55cfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 1,367$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…4612backed Yes | 8c | 1,363$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.57 | 273 | 16.8%46 W · 227 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0383…7eefbacked Yes | 4c | 1,348$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 263 | 14.8%39 W · 224 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…1418backed Yes | 7c | 1,333$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 259 | 44.4%115 W · 144 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…556fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,288$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542d…8999backed Yes | 1c | 1,280$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 8c | 1,274$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.93 | 686 | 15.7%108 W · 578 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 9c | 1,222$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.93 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x028e…c523backed Yes | 1c | 1,176$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 87 | 19.5%17 W · 70 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…8054backed Yes | 8c | 1,099$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +151.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c35…feebbacked Yes | 1c | 1,092$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 1,052$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 788 | 11.5%91 W · 697 L | -33.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…2246backed Yes | 8c | 1,008$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 342 | 3.5%12 W · 330 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…8d52backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 194 | 8.8%17 W · 177 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…4059backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +150.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…cdd2backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -93.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…1e06backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 212 | 15.1%32 W · 180 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…5614backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 173 | 10.4%18 W · 155 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…1b9abacked Yes | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes | 2c | 999.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 285 | 9.1%26 W · 259 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d7…5487backed Yes | 1c | 941.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…ea70backed Yes | 2c | 915.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ef…7ecbbacked Yes | 9c | 900$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef7…8367backed Yes | 11c | 878$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e69…e777backed Yes | 1c | 856$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…7f66backed Yes | 11c | 851.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 197 | 26.9%53 W · 144 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…8733backed Yes | 7c | 850$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 571 | 8.2%47 W · 524 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4573…c16bbacked Yes | 12c | 844$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes | 7c | 838.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 599 | 27%162 W · 437 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…adf9backed Yes | 5c | 811.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Yes | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391f…cf8dbacked Yes | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x838b…fef2backed Yes | 7c | 789.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab0a…36b1backed Yes | 10c | 780$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.