TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Qatar Total Open: Maria Sakkari vs Karolina Muchova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Muchovaof Sakkari, Muchova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$411,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$437,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,372 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf152…64aabacked Muchova71c54,713$38,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,798.4827063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Sakkari0c23,615$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.273661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Sakkari28c17,986$5,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,03626545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Sakkari29c16,568$4,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,804.7576146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sakkari37c16,295$6,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,040.262,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Sakkari62c16,125$9,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,997.4727460.2%165 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Sakkari33c12,722$4,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,25135247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Muchova66c12,041$7,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,063.3748851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Muchova51c11,663$5,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,759.892,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Muchova35c11,598$4,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,524.8528444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Muchova74c8,888$6,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.883574.3%26 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Muchova45c8,118$3,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,466.21,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Muchova70c7,107$5,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100.291,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Sakkari30c6,668$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.430241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Sakkari33c5,314$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.3855646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Muchova70c5,175$3,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.377,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Muchova71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Muchova71c5,000$3,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.9923731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Sakkari79c4,790$3,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,766.8957249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a0a…24a9backed Sakkari32c4,714$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.982825%7 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+48.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Sakkari46c4,251$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.962,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sakkari29c3,163$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.5765647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Sakkari32c3,100$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.936331.7%20 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Muchova72c3,022$2,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.1718663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Sakkari35c2,616$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.5997046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Sakkari61c2,600$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.573834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Sakkari30c2,476$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75016743.7%73 W · 94 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Muchova58c2,457$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.341,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Muchova41c2,444$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.9536968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Sakkari18c2,416$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.9672132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34ed…cfe3backed Muchova74c2,258$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5877357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae9…5b36backed Sakkari56c2,030$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.33240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Sakkari29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58022641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Sakkari30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006141%25 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Sakkari45c1,914$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.2781349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf20…1481backed Sakkari45c1,882$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed Sakkari26c1,771$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.082343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sakkari39c1,746$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.598,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Sakkari29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Muchova45c1,601$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.2818337.7%69 W · 114 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Sakkari30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Sakkari35c1,435$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014536.6%53 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x907c…85c8backed Sakkari31c1,408$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.62580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+44.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Muchova36c1,378$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.6839431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Muchova68c1,210$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.265558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Muchova59c1,138$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.022,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2c3…4d61backed Sakkari10c1,100$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-77%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b6b…b355backed Sakkari11c1,036$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.044122%9 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid+7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked Muchova22c1,000$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+40%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…a87abacked Muchova33c998.44$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.053046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb000…5ca6backed Sakkari62c982.67$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60812150.4%61 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Muchova63c950.99$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.8724340.3%98 W · 145 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Sakkari69c883.71$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.6130645.1%138 W · 168 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8f…30dbbacked Muchova67c863.44$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.57450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sakkari36c844.12$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.443,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Sakkari30c833.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8213…8c05backed Sakkari29c829.62$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2392825%7 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ab9…5b82backed Sakkari34c812.59$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.289135.2%32 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Muchova30c749.21$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.4513435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Sakkari29c741.56$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2151,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Sakkari33c740.94$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.18446.4%39 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Sakkari29c704.79$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3923126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Muchova70c704.39$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.391,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Muchova65c694$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.7422337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Sakkari29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007644.7%34 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1f5…e4c2backed Muchova73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.939244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Sakkari30c672.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Sakkari53c661.99$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.867248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Sakkari41c651.43$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27028754%155 W · 132 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x726b…c72bbacked Muchova72c644.92$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.911172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+41.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Sakkari37c603.01$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.725731.6%18 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc76a…c5c9backed Muchova38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3725527.3%15 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Sakkari28c583.75$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4520043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Muchova73c550.79$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7916665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Muchova72c520$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.214663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Muchova71c501.21$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3531749.5%157 W · 160 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Sakkari27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13522737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16f2…f62cbacked Muchova66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Muchova33c500$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33639438.1%150 W · 244 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5092…fccdbacked Sakkari29c493.07$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.31540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sakkari47c476.53$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.8211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f8…b0f3backed Sakkari36c476.15$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1721136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcda0…6d11backed Muchova72c470.42$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.117646.6%82 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Muchova32c468.4$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.43441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Sakkari30c422.56$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.771,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Sakkari28c419$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.321,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Sakkari36c416.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025152.6%132 W · 119 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Muchova70c411.42$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4323945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Sakkari73c410.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Sakkari28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11242141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef4…10eabacked Muchova56c400$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.621353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Muchova60c362.04$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3549143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Muchova71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.115853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8612…6a0abacked Muchova71c349.65$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.178145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Muchova68c346.04$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0662545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Sakkari29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011428.9%33 W · 81 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Sakkari12c323.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3933326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Sakkari48c321.02$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3584857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Muchova38c320.03$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.421,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Muchova68c318.21$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.432,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.