Tennis · resolved market
Tigre 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1212fdb31943e05809649fb621160cc8752835ce25581def6fd58bbe66392292
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Varillasof Aguilar, Varillas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Aguilar | 63c | 9,108$5,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,775.5 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Aguilar | 48c | 6,053$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.56 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Varillas | 29c | 4,896$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,459.07 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Varillas | 38c | 4,353$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.98 | 659 | 59%389 W · 270 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Aguilar | 44c | 3,108$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.5 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Aguilar | 47c | 2,893$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.71 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Varillas | 33c | 2,085$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.05 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Varillas | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Varillas | 66c | 1,900$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.43 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Aguilar | 58c | 1,507$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.67 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aguilar | 63c | 1,491$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.24 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…e568backed Varillas | 47c | 1,070$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.36 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Varillas | 57c | 894$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.06 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…d5d0backed Varillas | 63c | 891.88$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.54 | 250 | 62.8%157 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Varillas | 18c | 844.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.73 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Varillas | 69c | 843.38$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.25 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Aguilar | 52c | 695.96$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.6 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Aguilar | 33c | 627.25$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.52 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Varillas | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Varillas | 56c | 463$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.21 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aguilar | 39c | 460.53$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.31 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Varillas | 67c | 450$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.98 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Varillas | 46c | 432.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.51 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Varillas | 23c | 427.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.08 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…ec00backed Varillas | 30c | 376.27$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.39 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Varillas | 22c | 335.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.91 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Varillas | 65c | 322$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.21 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Aguilar | 32c | 290.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Varillas | 73c | 284.41$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 188 | 68.6%129 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Aguilar | 34c | 283.17$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Varillas | 61c | 283$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Varillas | 71c | 282.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Varillas | 63c | 270.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Varillas | 59c | 270.2$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aguilar | 67c | 248.29$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.58 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Varillas | 63c | 238.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Varillas | 43c | 233.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.74 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Aguilar | 35c | 232.18$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.21 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Varillas | 22c | 224.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.32 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Aguilar | 29c | 223.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…e7babacked Aguilar | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Varillas | 56c | 196.9$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.42 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Varillas | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Varillas | 30c | 160.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.56 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Varillas | 68c | 150.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Varillas | 64c | 133.02$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Varillas | 80c | 124.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Aguilar | 31c | 124.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Aguilar | 29c | 118.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Aguilar | 33c | 114.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Aguilar | 33c | 112.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -11.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Varillas | 43c | 111.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6249…cee9backed Varillas | 62c | 104.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Aguilar | 36c | 103.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Varillas | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Aguilar | 32c | 99.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Aguilar | 72c | 91.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…298fbacked Aguilar | 69c | 82.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Aguilar | 25c | 80.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Aguilar | 55c | 73.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…9716backed Aguilar | 29c | 71.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -11.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Aguilar | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…7b3ebacked Varillas | 62c | 63.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked Aguilar | 62c | 61.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Varillas | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Aguilar | 18c | 57.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…f88dbacked Varillas | 63c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Varillas | 46c | 53.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Varillas | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94a…0ff1backed Aguilar | 36c | 50.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Aguilar | 70c | 41.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…85c0backed Aguilar | 40c | 40.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed Varillas | 47c | 36.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Varillas | 56c | 35.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 96 | 69.8%67 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Aguilar | 31c | 33.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…12bdbacked Aguilar | 71c | 29.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x637e…cd1abacked Varillas | 45c | 27.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Aguilar | 44c | 26.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…a482backed Aguilar | 48c | 26.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Varillas | 62c | 26.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aguilar | 74c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Aguilar | 56c | 21.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Varillas | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…b704backed Varillas | 68c | 19.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Aguilar | 72c | 18.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f60…a419backed Aguilar | 79c | 16.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9894…65debacked Varillas | 77c | 16.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb497…ce7ebacked Varillas | 76c | 14.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigre 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillasthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Aguilar vs VarillasAguilar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.