TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Qatar Total Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yastremskaof Yastremska, Bucsa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$203,148
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$225,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,148 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Yastremska58c25,947$14,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,015.892,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Bucsa39c24,908$9,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,682.9280938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bucsa37c10,083$3,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,728.7211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Yastremska51c7,230$3,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,542.71,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yastremska52c5,745$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,745.131,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucsa36c4,478$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.782,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Yastremska79c4,182$3,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.6311560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Yastremska53c4,163$2,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,947.231,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Yastremska59c3,907$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.029264.1%59 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Bucsa15c3,838$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.7612752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Bucsa42c3,691$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.412,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Bucsa49c3,649$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.3224438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7476…d670backed Bucsa5c2,600$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bucsa48c2,448$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.2465647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2020…7e22backed Bucsa52c2,410$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2584055%22 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Bucsa44c2,278$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00044754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bucsa42c2,172$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.1876140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Bucsa41c2,065$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.0519846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Bucsa2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick2cpaid+506.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x359f…fa80backed Bucsa5c2,000$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052334.8%8 W · 15 L+6.7wins+0.29per pick6cpaid+304.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Bucsa37c1,684$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.12634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x411e…ea8bbacked Bucsa7c1,400$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102933.3%3 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+165.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Yastremska67c1,379$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.2569249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yastremska49c1,351$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.2499044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yastremska46c1,178$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.066,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b46…bb95backed Yastremska67c1,168$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.152878.6%22 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Bucsa23c1,087$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25028039.3%110 W · 170 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x845a…c09bbacked Yastremska58c1,066$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.724100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7c8…e4f7backed Yastremska78c1,035$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.7613554.8%74 W · 61 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Yastremska56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4403669.4%25 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Bucsa42c999.96$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.981,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Yastremska53c943.36$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.3644448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc04a…af81backed Bucsa43c900$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38770%0 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf50c…83edbacked Yastremska57c900$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3877100%7 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Bucsa18c874.42$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1328835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Yastremska62c800$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3047444.6%33 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Bucsa43c757$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.5131753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0f…ae40backed Yastremska73c752.42$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.444557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c35…572abacked Yastremska53c688.63$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.852166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Bucsa18c676.64$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.651,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yastremska44c675$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37855646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Bucsa34c672.14$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.792,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Bucsa32c624.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7384857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bucsa19c517.09$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.582,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Bucsa43c502.33$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21643448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Bucsa32c501.62$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.166,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Bucsa41c500$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.54,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yastremska57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21514568.3%99 W · 46 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yastremska77c473.32$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.239762.9%61 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Bucsa43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20078152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bucsa42c417.35$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.687,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yastremska61c404.47$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.7412147.1%57 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yastremska52c385.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.91,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Bucsa58c354.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2760661.2%371 W · 235 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03b5…3481backed Bucsa9c354.89$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bucsa35c342.28$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.213,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Bucsa15c333$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9569350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Bucsa21c309.52$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6528833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6f2…1255backed Yastremska55c300$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1363351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Bucsa20c290$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5896035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Bucsa53c281.13$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14926158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yastremska59c276.07$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.624,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x430b…6e64backed Yastremska60c275.16$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2620447.5%97 W · 107 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yastremska66c274.49$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.747,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Yastremska58c267.62$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.465840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ff…b983backed Yastremska58c265$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yastremska67c263.17$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.646,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb475…2ed2backed Bucsa23c259.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.651457.1%8 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.32per pick25cpaid+121.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Bucsa19c259.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014613.7%20 W · 126 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Bucsa8c250.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.271,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Bucsa43c242$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.061,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725d…e49abacked Bucsa43c232.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005048%24 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf600…afeebacked Bucsa43c230$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9606…76b4backed Bucsa43c230$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bd4…8589backed Yastremska58c225$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a94…8d49backed Yastremska57c225$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad5…7e28backed Bucsa44c225$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2790…c390backed Yastremska58c220$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8222…c872backed Yastremska57c220$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8c…3fd6backed Yastremska58c220$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93c3…658dbacked Yastremska57c219$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Yastremska57c218.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.24057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8066…8ee0backed Bucsa43c218$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17e…daa4backed Bucsa43c215$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd512…4e8cbacked Bucsa43c215$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5818…66d3backed Yastremska58c214.75$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0981…6e5abacked Bucsa43c210$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84c8…5f11backed Bucsa44c210$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bucsa40c209.54$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2334842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9646…d2dbbacked Yastremska57c209$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yastremska70c197.85$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5852037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe66d…97acbacked Bucsa30c189.45$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.75228.8%15 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Bucsa33c187.97$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.031,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…261fbacked Yastremska76c184.38$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3824357.6%140 W · 103 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbc8…bdb8backed Yastremska80c181.9$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3815263.8%97 W · 55 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yastremska61c180.54$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.488455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d5…dd7bbacked Bucsa37c176.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.363661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Yastremska58c172.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4724350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Yastremska57c167.51$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.320257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6d0…2c2bbacked Yastremska58c165$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.