TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa6f2…1255

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST3351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lugano: Remy Bertola vs Michael Mmohbacked Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$116
St. Brieuc: Jacob Fearnley vs Arthur Bouquierbacked Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$318.04
Dubai Tennis Championships: Quentin Halys vs Jack Draperbacked Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+53.3%+$276.35
Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$136
Alcaraz vs. Khachanov: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+270.4%+$73
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanovbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+29.9%+$46
Qatar Total Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkaribacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Argentina Open: Joao Fonseca vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Qatar Total Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Qatar Total Open: Iga Swiatek vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+49%+$32.9
Argentina Open: Ignacio Buse vs Francesco Passarobacked Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+579.6%+$597
Dallas Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Jack Pinnington Jonesbacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Dallas Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+145.9%+$178
Argentina Open: Facundo Acosta vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+93.9%+$169.5
Dallas Open: Marin Cilic vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Argentina Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Laslo Djerebacked Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Qatar Total Open: Emma Navarro vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Argentina Open: Lautaro Midon vs Pedro Martinezbacked Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25.9%+$42.15
Qatar Total Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+194.1%+$132
Kalinskaya vs. Maneiro: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25.48
Qatar Total Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Keninbacked Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
Qatar Total Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsabacked Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+82.9%+$136
Qatar Total Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+203%+$67
Qatar Total Open: Diana Shnaider vs Alycia Parksbacked Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Hamad Medjedovic vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-10.5)backed Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+25%+$10
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-8.5)backed Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
Spread: Belmont Bruins (-9.5)backed Belmont Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
Spread: Illinois State Redbirds (-8.5)backed Illinois State Redbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$26.29
Spread: Akron Zips (-11.5)backed Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Spread: Howard Bison (-13.5)backed Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+37.5%+$109.1
Spread: Marist Red Foxes (-9.5)backed Marist Red Foxes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-13.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+85.9%+$23.1
Spread: Siena Saints (-8.5)backed Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
Spread: Georgia Southern Eagles (-12.5)backed Georgia Southern Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.6
Spread: High Point Panthers (-10.5)backed High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+89.2%+$47.15
Spread: Lipscomb Bisons (-11.5)backed Lipscomb Bisons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-12.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+35.5%+$40.6
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+49.2%+$32.84
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+96.7%+$29.5
Spread: Akron Zips (-11.5)backed Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+32.2%+$85.94
Spread: Siena Saints (-9.5)backed Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-11.5)backed Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.19
Bellarmine Knights vs. North Florida Ospreysbacked North Florida Ospreys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+31.3%+$4.77
All 19 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-67.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+175.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+175.2%+$955
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.