Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Total Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Moyuka Uchijima
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4def6266f27b882b5a58b2f67a79e9979dde633596ed630b99bf4d7a7545cbac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kasatkinaof Kasatkina, Uchijima
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kasatkina | 68c | 12,179$8,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,877.21 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Uchijima | 29c | 7,529$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Uchijima | 26c | 5,258$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Uchijima | 44c | 2,903$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.96 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kasatkina | 62c | 2,511$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.36 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Uchijima | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Uchijima | 54c | 2,200$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.12 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149c…0906backed Uchijima | 36c | 2,160$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…327ebacked Kasatkina | 59c | 1,985$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Uchijima | 1c | 1,325$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Uchijima | 38c | 1,325$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.67 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Kasatkina | 64c | 1,271$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.59 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Uchijima | 39c | 1,110$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.73 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kasatkina | 62c | 1,083$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.54 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Kasatkina | 22c | 1,063$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.48 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Kasatkina | 65c | 1,007$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.53 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Uchijima | 36c | 857.47$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Uchijima | 44c | 830.9$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.3 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Uchijima | 29c | 830.78$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.77 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Uchijima | 39c | 777.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed Kasatkina | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Uchijima | 44c | 702.04$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.09 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Kasatkina | 74c | 675.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.67 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Uchijima | 34c | 615.9$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.93 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Kasatkina | 33c | 561.94$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.7 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kasatkina | 38c | 466.95$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.1 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Kasatkina | 54c | 404.88$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.88 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Kasatkina | 43c | 392$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.53 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb2…fea3backed Kasatkina | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Kasatkina | 55c | 311.6$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.35 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Uchijima | 16c | 311.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Kasatkina | 67c | 298.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.76 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Uchijima | 36c | 282.67$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Kasatkina | 66c | 262.44$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Uchijima | 35c | 261.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.43 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Uchijima | 39c | 252.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Uchijima | 47c | 230.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Uchijima | 58c | 207.58$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.24 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Kasatkina | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Uchijima | 27c | 199.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Uchijima | 41c | 184.46$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Uchijima | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Kasatkina | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kasatkina | 58c | 132$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Uchijima | 38c | 131.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Kasatkina | 67c | 110.79$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Uchijima | 70c | 101.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Kasatkina | 45c | 101.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f2…1255backed Kasatkina | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Uchijima | 39c | 97.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…91d5backed Kasatkina | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kasatkina | 42c | 85.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Uchijima | 30c | 84.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Kasatkina | 28c | 83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Uchijima | 44c | 75.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Kasatkina | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Kasatkina | 28c | 73.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 352 | 48.6%171 W · 181 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kasatkina | 62c | 68.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Uchijima | 66c | 61.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Uchijima | 37c | 60.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6971…c447backed Kasatkina | 63c | 60.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kasatkina | 69c | 56.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Uchijima | 57c | 54.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Uchijima | 74c | 53.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1084…744abacked Kasatkina | 60c | 49.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…a418backed Kasatkina | 56c | 46.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Uchijima | 42c | 33.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Kasatkina | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Kasatkina | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1309…8d93backed Uchijima | 42c | 30.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Uchijima | 49c | 28.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Kasatkina | 65c | 25.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Kasatkina | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Kasatkina | 71c | 22.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Kasatkina | 74c | 15.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 117 | 79.5%93 W · 24 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kasatkina | 77c | 15.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Total Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Moyuka Uchijimathis page
- Kasatkina vs. Uchijima: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Kasatkina vs. Uchijima: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Kasatkina vs. Uchijima: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Kasatkina vs UchijimaUchijima won
- Set Handicap: Kasatkina (-1.5) vs Uchijima (+1.5)Uchijima won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.