TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6971…c447

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
18
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Delray Beach Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Coco Gauff vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+41%+$24.33
Baton Rouge: Stefan Dostanic vs Andres Andradebacked Dostanic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$28.97
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Rotterdam Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+26.6%+$23.13
Rotterdam Open: Zizou Bergs vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Qatar Total Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$22.32
Transylvania Open: Emma Raducanu vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$21.21
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30.4
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.76
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$13.2
Australian Open Women's: Katerina Siniakova vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.42
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$25.32
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+35.1%+$9.36
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mali win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.