Tennis · resolved market
Baton Rouge: Stefan Dostanic vs Andres Andrade
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06a2dd77468337577be745d7c8107281cc850a5cabcb307fa99ca23efdccecba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dostanicof Dostanic, Andrade
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Andrade | 54c | 6,841$3,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,668.56 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dostanic | 42c | 5,623$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,236.11 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Andrade | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Dostanic | 22c | 3,229$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Andrade | 42c | 2,762$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.96 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Dostanic | 65c | 1,472$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.95 | 294 | 54.8%161 W · 133 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Andrade | 78c | 1,438$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.73 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dostanic | 40c | 1,388$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.52 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Andrade | 34c | 1,193$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.84 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Dostanic | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Andrade | 74c | 812.23$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…a4fcbacked Dostanic | 28c | 370.69$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.55 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +8.7wins | +0.58per pick | 28cpaid | +215%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xf878…05c1backed Dostanic | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +287.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Andrade | 45c | 263.94$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Dostanic | 68c | 177.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Andrade | 79c | 175.91$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.59 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Dostanic | 26c | 174.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.67 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Andrade | 39c | 168.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Andrade | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Dostanic | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Andrade | 59c | 133.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Andrade | 38c | 129.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked Dostanic | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Andrade | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3,862 | 34.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L | +92.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Andrade | 33c | 99.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Dostanic | 34c | 95.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Dostanic | 54c | 81.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6971…c447backed Dostanic | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Andrade | 26c | 64.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Dostanic | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Andrade | 25c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed Dostanic | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 16cpaid | +432.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Dostanic | 70c | 56.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Andrade | 44c | 50.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…4732backed Dostanic | 59c | 33.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Andrade | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…ffc4backed Andrade | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x192f…352bbacked Dostanic | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Dostanic | 63c | 26.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Dostanic | 59c | 21.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Andrade | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Andrade | 61c | 18.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.