Tennis · resolved market
Transylvania Open: Emma Raducanu vs Sorana Cirstea
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82a8f3934945009a22d035913afffae067b539a27ba9271e3e5f2ce984b7207d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cirsteaof Raducanu, Cirstea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $249,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Cirstea | 56c | 104,300$58,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,204.84 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Raducanu | 44c | 100,000$44,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,999.91 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…5095backed Raducanu | 46c | 15,141$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f52…5a0cbacked Raducanu | 45c | 7,691$3,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,460.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Cirstea | 56c | 7,436$4,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.9 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cirstea | 55c | 7,089$3,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.21 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Cirstea | 56c | 6,170$3,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.82 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Cirstea | 55c | 6,100$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.97 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Raducanu | 7c | 5,198$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 112 | 15.2%17 W · 95 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…df78backed Raducanu | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Raducanu | 10c | 4,828$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cirstea | 57c | 4,459$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.78 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Raducanu | 46c | 4,071$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.72 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raducanu | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.99 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Raducanu | 20c | 3,442$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.44 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Raducanu | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Raducanu | 44c | 2,808$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.41 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Raducanu | 8c | 2,421$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.53 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Raducanu | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Raducanu | 44c | 2,120$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.85 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raducanu | 45c | 2,067$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.3 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Raducanu | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…4183backed Cirstea | 57c | 1,735$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d4…eef1backed Cirstea | 56c | 1,697$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed Raducanu | 18c | 1,627$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Cirstea | 56c | 1,599$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.34 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cirstea | 79c | 1,423$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.75 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Raducanu | 21c | 1,369$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.08 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fb…4442backed Raducanu | 21c | 1,292$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Raducanu | 45c | 1,267$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Cirstea | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raducanu | 25c | 1,242$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.32 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cirstea | 56c | 1,089$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.31 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Cirstea | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe71e…8e58backed Cirstea | 56c | 1,063$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Cirstea | 56c | 1,062$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.03 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Raducanu | 37c | 1,000$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Cirstea | 55c | 996$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.2 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cirstea | 53c | 973.55$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.57 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Raducanu | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Raducanu | 44c | 855.99$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.63 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a3…14f4backed Raducanu | 13c | 720$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Raducanu | 25c | 719.33$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.15 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Cirstea | 57c | 671.93$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.93 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Cirstea | 67c | 660.56$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cirstea | 55c | 648$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.6 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Raducanu | 6c | 611$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cirstea | 59c | 590.5$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.2 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…94fabacked Raducanu | 15c | 550$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Cirstea | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Cirstea | 57c | 529.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.45 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…6628backed Raducanu | 14c | 516.07$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c3…0783backed Cirstea | 55c | 502.07$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Raducanu | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…7242backed Cirstea | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Cirstea | 68c | 498.59$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.59 | 287 | 54%155 W · 132 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Raducanu | 10c | 480.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Cirstea | 72c | 416.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.36 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Raducanu | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Raducanu | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Raducanu | 26c | 380$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Cirstea | 57c | 360.58$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.05 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…878cbacked Cirstea | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Raducanu | 14c | 348.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Raducanu | 14c | 340$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Raducanu | 45c | 305.59$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Raducanu | 25c | 283.12$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…29c4backed Raducanu | 46c | 278.26$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…fe11backed Cirstea | 56c | 268.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Cirstea | 56c | 265.54$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.84 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raducanu | 6c | 243.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Raducanu | 45c | 238.53$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.34 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Raducanu | 44c | 224.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Raducanu | 45c | 223.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Raducanu | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7005backed Raducanu | 45c | 221$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059b…becbbacked Cirstea | 55c | 218$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Raducanu | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc993…1700backed Raducanu | 45c | 216$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113b…7b76backed Raducanu | 45c | 210$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…99a9backed Cirstea | 55c | 208$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked Raducanu | 29c | 201.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Cirstea | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Raducanu | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Cirstea | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…9f95backed Cirstea | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8d…e306backed Cirstea | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Cirstea | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Cirstea | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c0…9c16backed Raducanu | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Cirstea | 55c | 181.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Cirstea | 58c | 173.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Cirstea | 56c | 171.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Raducanu | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Raducanu | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Raducanu | 44c | 150.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Raducanu | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Raducanu | 24c | 146.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked Raducanu | 27c | 145.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Raducanu | 21c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Transylvania Open: Emma Raducanu vs Sorana Cirsteathis page
- Raducanu vs. Cirstea: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Raducanu vs CirsteaCirstea won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.