TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Transylvania Open: Emma Raducanu vs Sorana Cirstea

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cirsteaof Raducanu, Cirstea
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$249,950
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$254,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,950 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Cirstea56c104,300$58,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,204.8411242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Raducanu44c100,000$44,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,999.9111633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4eae…5095backed Raducanu46c15,141$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0001030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f52…5a0cbacked Raducanu45c7,691$3,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,460.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Cirstea56c7,436$4,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,271.933955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Cirstea55c7,089$3,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,190.219742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Cirstea56c6,170$3,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.822347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Cirstea55c6,100$3,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,744.9710443.3%45 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7750…a3f3backed Raducanu7c5,198$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37011215.2%17 W · 95 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4738…df78backed Raducanu44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.98633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Raducanu10c4,828$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49380938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Cirstea57c4,459$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,923.785354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Raducanu46c4,071$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.7242042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raducanu44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.9916825%42 W · 126 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Raducanu20c3,442$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.441,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Raducanu45c3,333$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50044754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Raducanu44c2,808$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.4110650%53 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Raducanu8c2,421$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5316830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Raducanu45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00032637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Raducanu44c2,120$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.8524846%114 W · 134 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Raducanu45c2,067$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.325428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked Raducanu3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606331.7%20 W · 43 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5d…4183backed Cirstea57c1,735$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74614250.7%72 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d4…eef1backed Cirstea56c1,697$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf642…0c19backed Raducanu18c1,627$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2906732.8%22 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Cirstea56c1,599$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.3472452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cirstea79c1,423$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.758,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Raducanu21c1,369$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.0812735.4%45 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00fb…4442backed Raducanu21c1,292$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.36425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-34.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Raducanu45c1,267$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Cirstea80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25024438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Raducanu25c1,242$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.323,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Cirstea56c1,089$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3114450.7%73 W · 71 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Cirstea56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.4310339.8%41 W · 62 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe71e…8e58backed Cirstea56c1,063$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.44650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Cirstea56c1,062$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.0319846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Raducanu37c1,000$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.522737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Cirstea55c996$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.237540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cirstea53c973.55$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.571,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Raducanu21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Raducanu44c855.99$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.6310541%43 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a3…14f4backed Raducanu13c720$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.64557.8%26 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…540bbacked Raducanu25c719.33$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.157936.7%29 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Cirstea57c671.93$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.9337339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Cirstea67c660.56$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.52,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cirstea55c648$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.687251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Raducanu6c611$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6518551.4%95 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cirstea59c590.5$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.22,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e44…94fabacked Raducanu15c550$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Cirstea56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.714647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Cirstea57c529.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.4523353.2%124 W · 109 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa34…6628backed Raducanu14c516.07$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91c3…0783backed Cirstea55c502.07$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Raducanu45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+37.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x35c4…7242backed Cirstea56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2208422.6%19 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Cirstea68c498.59$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5928754%155 W · 132 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Raducanu10c480.61$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4636038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Cirstea72c416.36$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3610757.9%62 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Raducanu45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18042141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb485…f560backed Raducanu13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506127.9%17 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Raducanu26c380$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3999044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Cirstea57c360.58$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.0514568.3%99 W · 46 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x751b…878cbacked Cirstea56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.142958.6%17 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Raducanu14c348.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5065840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Raducanu14c340$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Raducanu45c305.59$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13813826.1%36 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Raducanu25c283.12$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7288446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61fa…29c4backed Raducanu46c278.26$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaac1…fe11backed Cirstea56c268.13$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Cirstea56c265.54$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.841,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Raducanu6c243.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.312,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Raducanu45c238.53$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3424350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Raducanu44c224.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10054348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Raducanu45c223.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Raducanu45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe973…7005backed Raducanu45c221$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x059b…becbbacked Cirstea55c218$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Raducanu46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc993…1700backed Raducanu45c216$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x113b…7b76backed Raducanu45c210$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c97…99a9backed Cirstea55c208$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4720…007bbacked Raducanu29c201.83$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.539250%46 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Cirstea56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8825051.2%128 W · 122 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Raducanu44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8849632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Cirstea57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ab3…9f95backed Cirstea56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c8d…e306backed Cirstea55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Cirstea56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8870465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Cirstea54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926050%30 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c0…9c16backed Raducanu45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Cirstea55c181.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.910440.4%42 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Cirstea58c173.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.491,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Cirstea56c171.14$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.143775.7%28 W · 9 L+8.4wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+41.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd29b…b518backed Raducanu31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010843.5%47 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Raducanu26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012722%28 W · 99 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+55.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Raducanu44c150.3$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.139643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Raducanu29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.510036%36 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Raducanu24c146.83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.761,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94e5…52bebacked Raducanu27c145.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Raducanu21c140$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.447057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.