TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Women's: Katerina Siniakova vs Amanda Anisimova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Anisimovaof Siniakova, Anisimova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,317
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,795

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,317 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Siniakova22c7,273$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60076140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Siniakova25c6,873$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.953537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Siniakova12c5,358$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cb…d211backed Anisimova76c5,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.1310358.3%60 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Siniakova22c4,572$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.977,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Anisimova76c4,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.1145457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Siniakova24c3,097$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.191,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Siniakova24c2,397$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.287,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Siniakova9c1,968$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.492,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d4…eef1backed Anisimova76c1,673$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Anisimova76c1,580$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.2521743.8%95 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Anisimova74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.354673.9%34 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Siniakova22c1,160$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.2119023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Siniakova3c1,070$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.282,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Siniakova5c810.19$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.132,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Siniakova23c701.44$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.331,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Siniakova13c669.29$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.472,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x094d…59f3backed Anisimova77c625.36$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.654938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Anisimova75c568.92$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.9214663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Siniakova6c531.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.493,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed Siniakova6c513.76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.234835.4%17 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Siniakova5c450$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.044599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Siniakova24c396.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6322337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Siniakova10c365.05$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.632,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad4…5113backed Siniakova3c353$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa982…e2fcbacked Siniakova26c345.6$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.861717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Siniakova16c332.74$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.432,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x749f…714bbacked Anisimova76c328.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9510562.9%66 W · 39 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-3.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Anisimova76c328$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.722259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Siniakova4c300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.11089.3%10 W · 98 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Siniakova4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.98783.8%3 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Siniakova25c271.67$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.927146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Anisimova75c267.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4794060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c79…8b69backed Anisimova75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.676150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62d0…27d9backed Siniakova6c240.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.482433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Anisimova76c236.84$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8442558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Anisimova76c224.75$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.949955.6%55 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Siniakova7c222.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.56934.3%4 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Anisimova76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4870652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Siniakova10c187.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.311122.5%25 W · 86 L-16.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-63.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9b98…e5d1backed Siniakova17c185.09$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.91758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b3f…994fbacked Anisimova77c182.5$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.57766.2%51 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Anisimova77c155$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.691,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…4432backed Siniakova25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.55435.2%19 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Anisimova74c148.38$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.581,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Siniakova10c146$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.67,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x623f…a4cdbacked Siniakova14c143.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9714…3014backed Anisimova76c140$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.62969%20 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e39…ec6bbacked Anisimova76c139.17$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.42673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed Anisimova74c136.76$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3610648.1%51 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa74d…734cbacked Anisimova76c110.47$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9228462.3%177 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182f…87d2backed Anisimova75c110$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.25369.8%37 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+12.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Siniakova25c101.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3360240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Anisimova76c100.25$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6818863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Anisimova76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2428543.5%124 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Anisimova75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2539844.2%176 W · 222 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Siniakova26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2558753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Anisimova76c82.89$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8960661.2%371 W · 235 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Siniakova26c71.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6767836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1660…9d86backed Anisimova75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.678964%57 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Anisimova77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.94944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca4b…fa0ebacked Siniakova24c62.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Siniakova25c57.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.451,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ae…6e2bbacked Anisimova74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Siniakova24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Siniakova22c48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6722236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Anisimova74c42.57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0753752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Siniakova24c42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.081,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb02…b642backed Anisimova76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.476374.6%47 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefb4…9653backed Anisimova76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.476173.8%45 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985b…ce2cbacked Anisimova76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.47540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8685…9083backed Anisimova78c34.74$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.646100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f31…e308backed Anisimova75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.331947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ad…0a08backed Anisimova75c31.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.761392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick77cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6971…c447backed Anisimova76c30.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.421266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38ed…af11backed Anisimova74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.032060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3fb…8179backed Anisimova76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.323063.3%19 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09c0…7253backed Anisimova77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a67…af26backed Anisimova77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.97540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc613…6a7fbacked Anisimova77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick72cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbf6…5cc2backed Anisimova76c20.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.964667.4%31 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x732d…400dbacked Anisimova75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fed…3b22backed Anisimova77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.483348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.