Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Siena Saints (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20afe7923d15e8875d5d2654df944948083d9f4bf9e657bd0bcf97014fbbe81a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Niagara Purple Eaglesof Siena Saints, Niagara Purple Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Siena Saints | 50c | 9,044$4,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,561.59 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 50c | 6,004$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.97 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 49c | 4,481$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.1 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 49c | 2,550$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.94 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Siena Saints | 50c | 1,621$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Siena Saints | 50c | 1,132$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.98 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Siena Saints | 51c | 1,080$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.67 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 49c | 448$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.48 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Siena Saints | 51c | 421$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.71 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Siena Saints | 51c | 204.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 51c | 148$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Siena Saints | 53c | 134.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Siena Saints | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Siena Saints | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Siena Saints | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 50c | 65.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 49c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f2…1255backed Siena Saints | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 52c | 41.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 49c | 36.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 47c | 32.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Siena Saints | 50c | 31.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 50c | 27.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Siena Saints | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Siena Saints (-9.5)this page
- Siena Saints vs. Niagara Purple EaglesSiena Saints won
- Siena Saints vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 128.5Over won
- Spread: Siena Saints (-8.5)Niagara Purple Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.