Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Siena Saints vs. Niagara Purple Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x927f52a75366e2b87c5a15d51ed8d1c66b264635f62ec83392c3e9777842a8d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Siena Saintsof Siena Saints, Niagara Purple Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 22c | 3,659$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.89 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 12c | 2,887$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.41 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 17c | 2,796$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.32 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 18c | 1,219$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.19 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 22c | 904.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Siena Saints | 77c | 618.42$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.69 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Siena Saints | 79c | 591.36$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.13 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 18c | 535.02$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 17c | 399.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…6c3fbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 21c | 346.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Siena Saints | 78c | 318$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 19c | 179$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…5334backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 18c | 169.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…f2a8backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 17c | 119.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…f593backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 19c | 84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 21c | 83.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe667…898fbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 16c | 82.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Siena Saints | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 20c | 70.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 16c | 67.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Siena Saints | 79c | 53.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a4…0aadbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 19c | 52.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Siena Saints | 78c | 43.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Siena Saints | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210e…b324backed Siena Saints | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…e011backed Siena Saints | 80c | 15.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Siena Saints | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Siena Saints vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesthis page
- Siena Saints vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 128.5Over won
- Spread: Siena Saints (-8.5)Niagara Purple Eagles won
- Spread: Siena Saints (-9.5)Niagara Purple Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.