Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Akron Zips (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5cf9444b2994b3f95213e6f0bcaf84500158cdd0a5e7a6bee2d24493ed1f7cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Akron Zipsof Akron Zips, Kent State Golden Flashes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Akron Zips | 46c | 30,197$13,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,204.64 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 54c | 19,512$10,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,536.61 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.97 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Akron Zips | 44c | 10,993$4,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,156.28 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 53c | 8,591$4,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,540.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Akron Zips | 44c | 5,757$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,222.2 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 55c | 3,900$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Akron Zips | 45c | 3,779$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.92 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 53c | 1,926$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.51 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Akron Zips | 44c | 1,768$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.36 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ec…5354backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 55c | 1,404$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 56c | 838.14$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.36 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Akron Zips | 44c | 759.41$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.86 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Akron Zips | 48c | 708.16$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.16 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 44c | 702.54$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.39 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Akron Zips | 47c | 574.47$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.47 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Akron Zips | 47c | 499.98$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Akron Zips | 48c | 498.08$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Akron Zips | 75c | 383.66$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f2…1255backed Akron Zips | 76c | 352.82$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.94 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 56c | 282.21$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 25c | 248.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 54c | 230.41$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.42 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 53c | 212.76$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 53c | 189.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…e466backed Akron Zips | 48c | 180$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Akron Zips | 45c | 155.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.73 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 54c | 113.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Akron Zips | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Akron Zips | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Akron Zips | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Akron Zips | 43c | 99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Akron Zips | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Akron Zips | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 33c | 52.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…fc90backed Akron Zips | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Akron Zips | 48c | 50.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b1…6cfabacked Akron Zips | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Akron Zips | 46c | 41.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Akron Zips | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Akron Zips | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 72c | 14.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Akron Zips (-11.5)this page
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akron ZipsAkron Zips won
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akron Zips: O/U 166.5Under won
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akron Zips: O/U 168.5Under won
- Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akron Zips: O/U 169.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.