Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Howard Bison (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86bc000635cf9e9f1cb2dd841c27f258818f1043863c178241f622d06eb74b8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Howard Bisonof Howard Bison, Coppin State Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Howard Bison | 54c | 6,431$3,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.65 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Coppin State Eagles | 46c | 4,753$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.38 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Howard Bison | 54c | 2,137$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.35 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Coppin State Eagles | 46c | 1,959$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.2 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Coppin State Eagles | 46c | 678$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.88 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Coppin State Eagles | 46c | 581.93$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.43 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Coppin State Eagles | 47c | 460$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.2 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Howard Bison | 57c | 431.01$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.9 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f2…1255backed Howard Bison | 73c | 400$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Coppin State Eagles | 46c | 284.52$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.88 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Howard Bison | 52c | 247$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.57 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Coppin State Eagles | 46c | 241.54$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7db…293fbacked Coppin State Eagles | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Coppin State Eagles | 45c | 140.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Coppin State Eagles | 44c | 129.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Coppin State Eagles | 47c | 129.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Coppin State Eagles | 41c | 121.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Coppin State Eagles | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Howard Bison | 52c | 89.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Howard Bison | 55c | 71.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Coppin State Eagles | 48c | 53.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Howard Bison | 33c | 36.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +60%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Coppin State Eagles | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Howard Bison (-13.5)this page
- Howard Bison vs. Coppin State EaglesHoward Bison won
- Howard Bison vs. Coppin State Eagles: O/U 146.5Under won
- Howard Bison vs. Coppin State Eagles: O/U 147.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.