Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dd34cf7a2a1d5f44b142ef5c2e7c5804c42db8589601afe90c3530f85e66979
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Louis Billikensof Saint Louis Billikens, Davidson Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Saint Louis Billikens | 52c | 11,868$6,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,696.45 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Saint Louis Billikens | 50c | 10,004$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,001.8 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Davidson Wildcats | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Davidson Wildcats | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 52c | 6,225$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.7 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Davidson Wildcats | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Davidson Wildcats | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Saint Louis Billikens | 53c | 636$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.64 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Saint Louis Billikens | 52c | 231.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.22 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Saint Louis Billikens | 54c | 101.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Davidson Wildcats | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saint Louis Billikens | 39c | 50.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f2…1255backed Saint Louis Billikens | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Davidson Wildcats | 49c | 47.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Davidson Wildcats | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-8.5)this page
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Davidson WildcatsSaint Louis Billikens won
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 149.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.