TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Saint Louis Billikens vs. Davidson Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saint Louis Billikensof Saint Louis Billikens, Davidson Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,170
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,707

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,170 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x067f…e041backed Davidson Wildcats20c12,500$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50030139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Saint Louis Billikens71c5,033$3,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.983,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Davidson Wildcats32c3,106$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.42,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Saint Louis Billikens80c3,019$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.81,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Davidson Wildcats33c2,726$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.541330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Davidson Wildcats39c2,584$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Saint Louis Billikens80c2,420$1,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48410650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Saint Louis Billikens68c2,293$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.351,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Saint Louis Billikens78c2,184$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.525,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Davidson Wildcats20c2,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3902,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed Davidson Wildcats13c1,999$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.2112537.6%47 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Davidson Wildcats5c1,900$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958817%15 W · 73 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Saint Louis Billikens80c1,554$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.82,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Saint Louis Billikens80c1,509$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.7513561.5%83 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Saint Louis Billikens42c1,405$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.1643450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Saint Louis Billikens70c1,391$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.7787047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Saint Louis Billikens67c1,369$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.131,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Davidson Wildcats46c1,281$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.424,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Davidson Wildcats38c1,040$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40094036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c67…a813backed Saint Louis Billikens80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Davidson Wildcats2c995$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Davidson Wildcats35c983.63$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.555840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Davidson Wildcats21c700$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14731537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Saint Louis Billikens80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Saint Louis Billikens65c578.08$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.213,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Davidson Wildcats43c561.9$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.845,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Saint Louis Billikens65c540.28$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.78845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Saint Louis Billikens80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10027450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Saint Louis Billikens80c495.04$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0189850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Davidson Wildcats36c492.54$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3115453.9%83 W · 71 L+16.8wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Saint Louis Billikens77c470$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.925254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Davidson Wildcats6c422.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.142347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Davidson Wildcats42c382.85$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7131646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Saint Louis Billikens64c280.09$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0945351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Saint Louis Billikens61c280$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7261446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37a0…8423backed Saint Louis Billikens66c272.61$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Davidson Wildcats10c265.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.594126.8%11 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Davidson Wildcats32c254.33$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9219332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa89…6cb6backed Saint Louis Billikens78c205$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.11952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…849ebacked Saint Louis Billikens79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick74cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Davidson Wildcats19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Saint Louis Billikens65c185.86$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6368254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Davidson Wildcats23c181.93$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8497447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Davidson Wildcats20c181.19$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Saint Louis Billikens64c172$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.62,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Saint Louis Billikens80c156.17$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.679259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed Davidson Wildcats9c150$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.754035%14 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5acf…0df2backed Saint Louis Billikens57c140.87$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.891136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Saint Louis Billikens62c127.15$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1738345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Davidson Wildcats32c125.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4377142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Saint Louis Billikens75c115.31$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.551,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Davidson Wildcats20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Saint Louis Billikens43c99.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577252.8%38 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Davidson Wildcats30c86.45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Saint Louis Billikens62c78.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3038343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Saint Louis Billikens80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152161.9%13 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Saint Louis Billikens40c68.24$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.251,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Davidson Wildcats45c56.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.073,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…5c69backed Davidson Wildcats36c56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.166114.8%9 W · 52 L-12.0wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-64%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed Saint Louis Billikens77c52.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.246550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30e1…0badbacked Saint Louis Billikens80c44.02$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81580%12 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x848c…bfebbacked Saint Louis Billikens61c39.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe113…375dbacked Saint Louis Billikens72c38.08$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Saint Louis Billikens62c37.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.991,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Davidson Wildcats38c37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2227358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Davidson Wildcats52c33.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.495534.5%19 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb834…e4c1backed Saint Louis Billikens66c33.52$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.48350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Davidson Wildcats41c32.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3499848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Saint Louis Billikens64c32.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.772382.6%19 W · 4 L+6.4wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+54.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Saint Louis Billikens62c32.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.370349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b0…2a3fbacked Davidson Wildcats46c30.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec2…edd9backed Saint Louis Billikens69c30.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.59560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b3c…e6cabacked Saint Louis Billikens65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Saint Louis Billikens66c29.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.079151.6%47 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeccd…d68abacked Saint Louis Billikens78c20.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+79.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Saint Louis Billikens59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.21,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Saint Louis Billikens79c18.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9936248.6%176 W · 186 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Saint Louis Billikens70c18.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6813550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8410…441fbacked Saint Louis Billikens64c18.05$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.57580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda4d…217abacked Saint Louis Billikens80c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.23560%21 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Saint Louis Billikens70c15.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.523151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.