TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Argentina Open: Ignacio Buse vs Francesco Passaro

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Buseof Buse, Passaro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$187,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$205,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,076 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Buse65c21,139$13,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,488.0480938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Passaro64c13,180$8,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,492.32,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Buse22c8,084$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,329.371,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Passaro60c7,620$4,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,571.991,20649%591 W · 615 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Buse14c6,922$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,922.1128444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Buse21c4,592$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,634.4765647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x869f…7a8bbacked Passaro60c4,421$2,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,652.621361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Passaro45c4,088$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.082,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Buse2c3,751$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,669.3812313.8%17 W · 106 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Buse23c3,116$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,392.8548552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed Buse13c3,020$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,620.192343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Buse39c3,000$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.9619241.1%79 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Passaro63c2,190$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.5511560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Buse40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2001,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Buse40c1,866$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.61,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Buse40c1,743$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.5116340.5%66 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Buse35c1,706$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.681,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c71…fe82backed Passaro61c1,637$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.7560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Passaro52c1,597$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.087,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Buse39c1,558$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.8225428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Buse40c1,416$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.0394355.7%525 W · 418 L+22.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Buse39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.0585057.5%489 W · 361 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Passaro67c1,027$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.2910557.1%60 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Passaro61c1,014$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.6443051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Passaro44c1,010$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.1611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Buse41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8348…de9fbacked Passaro2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Buse40c963$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.421338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Buse57c927$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39455646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Passaro22c909.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Buse39c855.96$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.671,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6f2…1255backed Buse15c700$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5973351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Buse38c631.88$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.8776140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Buse17c602.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.413441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Buse26c596.83$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.3249143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Buse35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.4363247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Passaro59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29542141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Buse42c430.48$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.351,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Passaro59c403.97$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.3453058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Buse51c394.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8938739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Passaro62c372.8$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1730530.8%94 W · 211 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Passaro31c370.33$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.754,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Buse39c362$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.821,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…6405backed Passaro70c361.35$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.495156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Buse38c347.49$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.344,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Passaro58c347.27$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.33,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Buse4c335.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.133326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Buse7c330$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.212,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Passaro61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20059165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Buse17c306.54$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5496035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Buse54c287.61$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0828247.9%135 W · 147 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1985…8cbdbacked Passaro62c277$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712065%13 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Buse39c266.41$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.811,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Buse41c253.97$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14957252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Buse40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15037544.3%166 W · 209 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Passaro60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010440.4%42 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Buse56c242$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.121,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Buse40c238$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.895140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Buse45c220.9$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.4969350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9398…d3e0backed Passaro74c207.25$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Passaro59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11846649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Passaro62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12426247.7%125 W · 137 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Passaro53c199.2$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.685056%28 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe792…80bcbacked Passaro49c194.51$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956549.2%32 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Passaro61c193.95$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4652037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Buse34c193.07$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.0772542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Buse43c191.21$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9934842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3da…c91fbacked Passaro41c171.65$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705164.7%33 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Passaro59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Passaro59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Passaro57c164.74$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.947552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Buse37c162$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.297046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc38d…48e3backed Buse28c160$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.75257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb48c…ab11backed Buse17c149.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.892857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Buse17c141.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0215648.7%76 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Passaro45c137.88$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.711,38116.4%227 W · 1,154 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Buse38c132$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8425237.3%94 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Buse39c128.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0937438.5%144 W · 230 L-1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e10…29e0backed Buse9c126.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+427.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Buse41c119.51$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6610739.3%42 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Buse42c115.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6615244.1%67 W · 85 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf4d…dfdbbacked Buse32c109.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.382528%7 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f6b…8557backed Buse37c105.41$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.411154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Passaro68c102.31$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7039850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Buse32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.522840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Buse28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.887941.8%33 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Buse41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c77…1d14backed Buse27c96.83$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.733855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Buse42c95.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5418932.3%61 W · 128 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc05e…c64dbacked Passaro60c91.82$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc274…86debacked Buse22c91.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3249342.8%211 W · 282 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd9…96f0backed Buse45c90.83$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.957236.1%26 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Passaro77c90$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.527546.5%128 W · 147 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Buse40c88$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.361,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Buse79c86.76$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.562,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Passaro59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x500c…883cbacked Passaro62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014860.1%89 W · 59 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Passaro59c77.97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467150.7%36 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc226…497dbacked Buse39c75.15$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.92030%6 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Buse52c67.72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6688455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.