Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Buse vs Passaro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x088005e692fc29baa2104b9ca35b2cfc5b11214e6660ca794322a371813a19a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Passaroof Buse, Passaro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Buse | 1c | 882.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Buse | 35c | 113.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Buse | 40c | 68.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked Passaro | 60c | 68.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Buse | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Buse | 33c | 52.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Passaro | 62c | 52.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Buse | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…6e99backed Passaro | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Passaro | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.31per pick | 48cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Passaro | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Passaro | 63c | 27.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec6…9ca4backed Buse | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…dd55backed Passaro | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf00…9222backed Passaro | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c3…78dfbacked Passaro | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1faa…c1f6backed Passaro | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…7aadbacked Passaro | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…8e32backed Passaro | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79f…6e74backed Passaro | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2882…3724backed Passaro | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Buse vs Passarothis page
- Argentina Open: Ignacio Buse vs Francesco PassaroBuse won
- Buse vs. Passaro: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Buse vs. Passaro: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Buse vs. Passaro: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Buse vs. Passaro: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Buse vs. Passaro: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Passaro (-1.5) vs Buse (+1.5)Buse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.