Tennis · resolved market
St. Brieuc: Jacob Fearnley vs Arthur Bouquier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe26f3ce2f94dc05893896df5aa68f383c88ed79c2973193001c75fb070c1ec11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bouquierof Fearnley, Bouquier
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bouquier | 58c | 6,303$3,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.57 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bouquier | 78c | 2,756$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.73 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Fearnley | 45c | 2,220$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.61 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Fearnley | 8c | 2,151$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.14 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f2…1255backed Fearnley | 15c | 2,058$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.04 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Bouquier | 65c | 1,500$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.78 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fearnley | 38c | 1,440$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.21 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Fearnley | 33c | 1,149$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.54 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Fearnley | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Fearnley | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Bouquier | 58c | 1,010$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.78 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Fearnley | 44c | 857$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.92 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Fearnley | 41c | 713.72$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.96 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Bouquier | 59c | 678.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.06 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Fearnley | 45c | 565$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.33 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Fearnley | 18c | 524.1$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Fearnley | 44c | 511.57$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.9 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Bouquier | 24c | 420.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.99 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Fearnley | 43c | 416.91$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.22 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Fearnley | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.35 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Fearnley | 60c | 386.28$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.37 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bouquier | 50c | 368.72$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.72 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Fearnley | 49c | 309.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bouquier | 15c | 234.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.35 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Bouquier | 60c | 233.36$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.41 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…d351backed Bouquier | 20c | 220$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Bouquier | 58c | 213.47$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Fearnley | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Fearnley | 39c | 195.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Bouquier | 55c | 194.12$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.12 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fearnley | 39c | 167.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa60…9b86backed Fearnley | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0136…6e7bbacked Fearnley | 71c | 125.35$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Bouquier | 16c | 123.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bouquier | 56c | 98.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Fearnley | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839a…e59cbacked Fearnley | 52c | 88.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 67cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Bouquier | 57c | 87.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…0d10backed Fearnley | 38c | 81.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Fearnley | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a0…1717backed Bouquier | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fearnley | 44c | 62.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Bouquier | 25c | 62.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Fearnley | 75c | 60.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Fearnley | 55c | 57.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Bouquier | 23c | 56.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d16…2154backed Fearnley | 53c | 55.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Bouquier | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Bouquier | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Bouquier | 53c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Fearnley | 34c | 46.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…485abacked Bouquier | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…04acbacked Fearnley | 41c | 41.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0541…e827backed Fearnley | 50c | 33.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Fearnley | 48c | 33.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Bouquier | 64c | 33.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…f81bbacked Fearnley | 41c | 31.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…e2fdbacked Bouquier | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…2aacbacked Fearnley | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…8dfcbacked Fearnley | 74c | 23.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73b2…400fbacked Fearnley | 74c | 22.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Fearnley | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…b614backed Fearnley | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.