Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cd8e5b03a9d9caa3cf2246c8ca422034322d559c92742de3700253ba36b7070
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Davidson Wildcatsof Davidson Wildcats, Loyola Chicago Ramblers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 55c | 4,915$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.23 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Davidson Wildcats | 45c | 4,243$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 15c | 2,548$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.16 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 15c | 1,274$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.03 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Davidson Wildcats | 48c | 948.08$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 21c | 476.49$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.33 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…6c3fbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 22c | 459.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…f103backed Davidson Wildcats | 46c | 311.36$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Davidson Wildcats | 47c | 255.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…4d28backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 54c | 161.68$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…8e82backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 54c | 149.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…70e1backed Davidson Wildcats | 48c | 104.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Davidson Wildcats | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Davidson Wildcats | 45c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…1e06backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f2…1255backed Davidson Wildcats | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Davidson Wildcats | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed Davidson Wildcats | 47c | 31.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Davidson Wildcats | 48c | 30.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-10.5)this page
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson WildcatsDavidson Wildcats won
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 138.5Over won
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 139.5Over won
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 140.5Over won
- Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-11.5)Davidson Wildcats won
- Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-12.5)Davidson Wildcats won
- Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-9.5)Davidson Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.