TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Davidson Wildcatsof Davidson Wildcats, Loyola Chicago Ramblers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,190
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,799

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,190 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf1f4…544cbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers49c6,710$3,319 inLost-$3,318.585248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Davidson Wildcats53c6,000$3,180 inWon+$2,819.9935151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Davidson Wildcats50c4,477$2,259 inWon+$2,218.6312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers50c3,998$1,999 inLost-$1,999.1141752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers47c3,309$1,555 inLost-$1,555.091,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Davidson Wildcats50c2,300$1,150 inWon+$1,1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Davidson Wildcats53c1,578$832 inWon+$745.71,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers47c680.85$320 inLost-$32079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers47c638.3$300 inLost-$3001,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers47c583$274 inLost-$274.0184147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Davidson Wildcats52c468.99$245 inWon+$223.675,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Davidson Wildcats52c336.54$175 inWon+$161.547057.1%40 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Davidson Wildcats50c300$150 inWon+$15035243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Davidson Wildcats51c235.28$120 inWon+$115.294,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers47c204.52$96 inLost-$96.1390645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Davidson Wildcats53c138.51$73 inWon+$65.33560%21 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Davidson Wildcats51c119.71$61 inWon+$58.9162451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Davidson Wildcats53c60$32 inWon+$28.23250%16 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fea8backed Davidson Wildcats51c49.02$25 inWon+$24.024658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.