TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Davidson Wildcatsof Loyola Chicago Ramblers, Davidson Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$181,378
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$227,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,378 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfbf3…b218backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers14c19,646$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,750.447245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers15c15,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers14c12,120$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.065,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers14c7,195$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.0712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers10c6,890$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.221,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d93…d67abacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers15c6,620$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02560%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers14c5,088$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.3242246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9549345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4505131.4%16 W · 35 L-8.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-39.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45044549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafb8…505cbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers14c2,134$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.34427.3%12 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24089850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24074649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010448.1%50 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers17c1,086$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.941,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers16c1,021$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3212846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers1c800.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.854,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers14c785.96$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0350548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers16c750$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12056444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers16c728.92$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.862,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers14c700$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-38.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers15c666.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013052.3%68 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff7c…c36abacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers16c650$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104175.9%1 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick27cpaid-60.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011028.2%31 W · 79 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers16c618$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8160548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers12c599.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers16c582.5$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.21546.7%7 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick27cpaid+183.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf38d…2d86backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers14c510$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers14c506.59$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.391,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7582048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers15c496.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5399848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f6…1e91backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers13c490$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers14c419.96$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6742339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a4f…6879backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-72.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers16c378.41$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6118230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers15c367$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6761446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers16c364.47$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.931,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers15c359.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5484147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b75…0318backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers13c320$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers13c276.01$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2121443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers16c234.94$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5925544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers14c220.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.424,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers13c174.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6437441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5818…a4bebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-72.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7167…0ee2backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers17c120.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.471,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1e0…9f88backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers18c113.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers10c110.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.671,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers13c110.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.781612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-72.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers15c105.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.617343.8%32 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-77.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x05ab…b10abacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15120%0 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers13c99.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9938645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers15c99.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9613651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef65…a496backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers15c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+40.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers16c68.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0112141.3%50 W · 71 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc12…05f2backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers15c66.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102920.7%6 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1093447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.