Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 138.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed65358ba2efac74e36ce6748ed4e9882b4ca121c2dc4a2d16cf8109c2dac04a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 52c | 37,353$19,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,929.45 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 48c | 11,077$5,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,316.92 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 4,115$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.49 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 3,596$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.08 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Over | 53c | 3,248$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.78 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 2,194$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.55 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 52c | 1,764$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.11 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 57c | 960$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.97 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 46c | 849.5$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 43c | 683.89$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.07 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 62c | 654.18$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.67 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 435.83$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.01 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 45c | 377.78$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 36c | 377.53$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.39 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 48c | 229.36$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.39 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 48c | 225$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 48c | 209.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 55c | 199.97$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 44c | 199.63$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 51c | 196.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 69c | 147.03$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 45c | 128.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 55c | 112$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ac…2108backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 56c | 88.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 45c | 50.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 43c | 40.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…790bbacked Over | 57c | 21.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +6.8wins | +0.36per pick | 54cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 138.5this page
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson WildcatsDavidson Wildcats won
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 139.5Over won
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 140.5Over won
- Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-10.5)Davidson Wildcats won
- Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-11.5)Davidson Wildcats won
- Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-12.5)Davidson Wildcats won
- Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-9.5)Davidson Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.