TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Qatar Total Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Elina Svitolina

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kalinskayaof Kalinskaya, Svitolina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$433,684
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$380,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $433,684 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe06c…62aebacked Svitolina49c90,000$44,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,099.281369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+67.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Kalinskaya40c29,687$11,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,924.869545.3%43 W · 52 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Svitolina70c22,306$15,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,590.9427063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Kalinskaya66c17,306$11,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,842.8457649.5%285 W · 291 L-32.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Svitolina21c15,194$3,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,242.6780938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kalinskaya39c10,375$3,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,377.737,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Kalinskaya29c10,106$2,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,175.091,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Svitolina22c9,247$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.48,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Svitolina73c8,219$6,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,006.016841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Kalinskaya31c8,138$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,610.3676546.8%358 W · 407 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Kalinskaya30c7,735$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,414.241428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Kalinskaya29c6,219$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,419.491,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba0e…995cbacked Kalinskaya30c5,900$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,130540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Svitolina39c5,753$2,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,223.011,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d2…cc46backed Svitolina44c5,196$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.2130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Svitolina37c4,376$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.281349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Kalinskaya29c4,017$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,852.0223126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9df4…8ca6backed Kalinskaya30c3,200$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,240520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Svitolina56c3,120$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75272132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Svitolina71c2,903$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.3817445.4%79 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Svitolina33c2,798$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.6111,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Kalinskaya69c2,584$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.1535247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Kalinskaya43c2,317$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.3799139.9%395 W · 596 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Svitolina71c2,114$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Svitolina71c2,113$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009749.5%48 W · 49 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Svitolina55c2,073$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.763,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Svitolina71c2,029$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44715862.7%99 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Svitolina70c1,961$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.989264.1%59 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kalinskaya30c1,918$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.0931332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Svitolina72c1,845$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.120257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Kalinskaya30c1,833$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.36439.1%25 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Svitolina74c1,757$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30044754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Svitolina44c1,750$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.9915751.6%81 W · 76 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Kalinskaya29c1,727$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.644,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Svitolina39c1,681$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Kalinskaya30c1,650$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1551,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Svitolina58c1,647$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.2826065%169 W · 91 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Kalinskaya35c1,601$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.7541645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Kalinskaya29c1,565$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.91,16144.3%514 W · 647 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Svitolina28c1,490$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.142,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Kalinskaya58c1,437$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.252,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Kalinskaya30c1,415$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.614750.3%74 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa01b…bc1dbacked Svitolina72c1,400$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-43.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7f…c645backed Svitolina15c1,372$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kalinskaya51c1,355$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.892,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Svitolina70c1,293$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.7978452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Svitolina52c1,279$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.857248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Kalinskaya30c1,111$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.731753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9997…97b5backed Svitolina70c1,100$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e7…c5c9backed Svitolina70c1,100$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0f…ae40backed Svitolina70c1,014$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7104557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d7c…832dbacked Svitolina70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+46.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Svitolina40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40075748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Kalinskaya26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.387,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Svitolina71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71010557.1%60 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Svitolina78c1,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78018863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…649cbacked Svitolina15c969.99$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9206…42a6backed Svitolina53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005858.6%34 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Svitolina54c926$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50039431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Svitolina70c896$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.22867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Kalinskaya30c875$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.51735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Svitolina31c842.5$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.766,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Kalinskaya28c825.73$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.3511343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Svitolina71c811.27$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5761163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd19f…b403backed Svitolina40c804.24$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.05520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-71.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6865…b323backed Svitolina70c800$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Svitolina56c756$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.2699044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Svitolina77c702.17$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.6729854%161 W · 137 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f86…4b75backed Svitolina70c700$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick73cpaid-63.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0845…e9ebbacked Svitolina70c700$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick73cpaid-63.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x830b…acc2backed Svitolina70c700$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fc7…0456backed Svitolina70c699.98$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.99580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+79.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Svitolina76c686.24$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52316665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Kalinskaya31c673.74$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.881,27756.6%723 W · 554 L-19.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Kalinskaya30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.675066%33 W · 17 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Kalinskaya30c660$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46247552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Kalinskaya23c652.17$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.171346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+42%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Svitolina69c649.91$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.4487251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Kalinskaya30c630$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44148552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Svitolina48c611.8$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.849143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kalinskaya28c606.04$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.3576140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x685f…c82fbacked Svitolina70c600$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-54.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc88d…1da9backed Svitolina46c600$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2787934.2%27 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Kalinskaya49c588.65$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.6528247.9%135 W · 147 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ee…47c8backed Svitolina71c565.93$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.5920261.4%124 W · 78 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Svitolina72c565.13$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.1529661.5%182 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Svitolina53c520.57$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.446553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Kalinskaya58c517.63$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.8318663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Kalinskaya44c506.02$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.0652037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x76d5…1210backed Svitolina70c500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+79.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69a6…4b30backed Kalinskaya30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3506344.4%28 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Kalinskaya29c499.99$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.9918548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1225…33bfbacked Svitolina71c465.63$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.63053.3%16 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Kalinskaya30c462.8$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.962650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Svitolina48c448.5$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.5213435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Svitolina45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Svitolina70c433.49$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30554138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Svitolina70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017955.9%100 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Svitolina62c425$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.470465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd418…d11fbacked Svitolina72c418.06$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.