Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeb10ef8b2369162a0ad906f7f9e9b4d9c88e9af3674e2ff4fdaf52cd779e685
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec15…3942backed Yes | 2c | 2,374$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…8c6bbacked Yes | 41c | 1,356$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.33 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f2…1255backed Yes | 2c | 1,264$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91d…d7cebacked No | 48c | 848.31$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.68 | 263 | 39.9%105 W · 158 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 56c | 798.71$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.84 | 172 | 43.6%75 W · 97 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…3e9cbacked Yes | 37c | 786.78$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.68 | 833 | 32.1%267 W · 566 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…06b0backed Yes | 12c | 772.66$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 187 | 27.3%51 W · 136 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 55c | 699.99$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.99 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 59c | 625.13$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.04 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 4c | 565.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb39…4e72backed Yes | 58c | 446.61$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed Yes | 57c | 399.99$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.99 | 81 | 76.5%62 W · 19 L | +14.7wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 58c | 367.51$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.57 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…c61bbacked No | 62c | 359.58$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.29 | 608 | 51.2%311 W · 297 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 45c | 358.9$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.08 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…b251backed Yes | 4c | 342.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b7…ef87backed Yes | 15c | 330.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 53c | 274.14$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.35 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 46c | 265.87$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.11 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…3eb2backed No | 53c | 265.51$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked Yes | 60c | 258.03$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.63 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…8577backed Yes | 25c | 255.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 191 | 33.5%64 W · 127 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 66c | 231.16$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.57 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -12.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…09babacked Yes | 56c | 217.12$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…c535backed No | 47c | 205.68$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.41 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0031…485abacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…cdc0backed No | 49c | 198.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…76b0backed Yes | 36c | 187$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 56c | 186.12$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc00a…2424backed Yes | 59c | 172.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked No | 70c | 165.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 478 | 34.3%164 W · 314 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…afb2backed Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 7c | 149.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 32c | 149.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 29c | 145.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…2b7ebacked Yes | 35c | 141.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe170…3c0bbacked Yes | 57c | 139.36$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4f…d890backed No | 40c | 124.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…1b7ebacked Yes | 49c | 122.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 65c | 121.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes | 56c | 119.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 353 | 62.9%222 W · 131 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 32c | 119.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1959…0b3fbacked Yes | 15c | 110$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…8acbbacked Yes | 74c | 103.3$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…e770backed No | 34c | 102.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…a90ebacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…596cbacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 214 | 48.6%104 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6889…f2e3backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ae…ab5ebacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b5…6d52backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 240 | 10%24 W · 216 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6d18backed No | 30c | 99.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 959 | 42.4%407 W · 552 L | +84.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcce6…77d1backed Yes | 50c | 99.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a66…482fbacked Yes | 38c | 90.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 40c | 90.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 62c | 89.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…9c46backed Yes | 15c | 88.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…989bbacked Yes | 56c | 87.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…085ebacked Yes | 18c | 85.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 219 | 19.6%43 W · 176 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…d38fbacked Yes | 42c | 80.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 63c | 72.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd5…cf27backed Yes | 63c | 72.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 64c | 69.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…6934backed Yes | 36c | 69.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb66…5e13backed Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 56c | 57.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d7…72e4backed Yes | 58c | 53.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dc…d8a4backed Yes | 26c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x229a…dbc8backed Yes | 62c | 51.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7482…6cf6backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 64c | 47.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 847 | 59.4%503 W · 344 L | +41.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d64…4a36backed Yes | 32c | 47.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x364c…2e92backed Yes | 28c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 36c | 44.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…e244backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e3…4a3bbacked Yes | 54c | 40.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eee…bac2backed Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…335dbacked Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x078d…c1bfbacked Yes | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 61c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed Yes | 65c | 36.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…70e3backed Yes | 50c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 72c | 33.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…e382backed Yes | 40c | 32.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed Yes | 62c | 32.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…9040backed Yes | 37c | 31.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac0…bee5backed Yes | 40c | 31.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef03…1fbfbacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…f86cbacked Yes | 62c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 57c | 29.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on February 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C or below on February 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 2?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.